Yet another aviation thread.

December 2nd, 2017 at 6:06:54 AM permalink
Fleastiff
Member since: Oct 27, 2012
Threads: 62
Posts: 7831
Quote: DRich
1) I usually do pick the cheapest after accounting for all fees and services that I will be using.
2) Because I am cheap.

Would you adjust your behavior for any of the following situations:

Certain knowledge that the low price was a predatory fare designed to eliminate some competitor.

Certain knowledge that the low price flight was at an eroded safety margin because no airline could possibly charge such a low price and also maintain pilot training and plane maintenance standards.
December 2nd, 2017 at 7:00:16 AM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: Fleastiff
Certain knowledge that the low price was a predatory fare designed to eliminate some competitor.



To see if that makes sense, let 's look at a route which is rare with five airlines competing with nonstop flights.

Given the most recent month that data is available. The month has 30 days and we are looking at flights from NYC (mostly JFK) to Las Vegas. There are roughly 16 nonstop flights per day and load factors are very high.

Clearly Virgin America is the smallest of the five competitors. They only have one flight per day, with the least number of seats and the lowest load factor, so they carry only 5% of the nonstop passengers from NYC to Las Vegas.

142 Delta Air Lines Inc. (166.87 seats) 92.4%
90 JetBlue Airways (198.99 seats) 92.3%
60 American Airlines Inc. (160.00 seats) 90.3%
30 Virgin America (148.10 seats) 88.3%
169 United Air Lines Inc.(from EWR airport) (172.28 seats) 95.0%

With five airlines to choose from prices are certainly competitive, but it would be ruinous to have "predatory pricing". Say four of the airlines conspired to set fares so low that Virgin America cancels their single daily flight .

All four airlines losing a ton of money until Virgin America gives up the route. how would they earn it back? If they double their price then they could never fill their planes.
December 2nd, 2017 at 7:23:45 AM permalink
DRich
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 51
Posts: 4966
Quote: Fleastiff
Would you adjust your behavior for any of the following situations:

Certain knowledge that the low price was a predatory fare designed to eliminate some competitor.

Certain knowledge that the low price flight was at an eroded safety margin because no airline could possibly charge such a low price and also maintain pilot training and plane maintenance standards.


It would not. I live in the short term so any money I save today is more valuable to me than money I may spend tomorrow.
At my age a Life In Prison sentence is not much of a detrrent.
December 2nd, 2017 at 7:56:38 AM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: DRich
It would not. I live in the short term so any money I save today is more valuable to me than money I may spend tomorrow.


I am not sure how long the overcrowded Las Vegas airport will be able to support over 65 flights per day from Los Angeles area (five airports)
Round trip to Las Vegas
Miles
197 Ontario, CA 4 flights per day
223 Burbank, CA 11 flights per day
226 Santa Ana, CA 8 flights per day
231 Long Beach, CA 7-8 flights per day
236 Los Angeles, CA 35-36 flights per day

The competition keeps prices low, but the strain on the runways is very high

Certainly there are far fewer flights from other continents
Miles to Las Vegas
6248 Beijing, China
6022 Seoul, South Korea
5713 Zurich, Switzerland
5584 Frankfurt, Germany
5253 London, United Kingdom LGW
5229 London, United Kingdom LHR
5087 Manchester, United Kingdom
2916 Panama City, Panama
2762 Honolulu, HI
Zurich, Switzerland 5713
December 3rd, 2017 at 6:08:33 AM permalink
Nareed
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 346
Posts: 12545
Reviews of the new densified AA 737-8 MAX are not good:

http://viewfromthewing.boardingarea.com/2017/11/29/flew-americans-first-new-no-legroom-plane-heres-really-like/

About the lavs, the author neglects to consider how any woman would have trouble managing it.
Donald Trump is a one-term LOSER
December 3rd, 2017 at 7:59:53 AM permalink
DRich
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 51
Posts: 4966
Quote: Nareed
Reviews of the new densified AA 737-8 MAX are not good:

http://viewfromthewing.boardingarea.com/2017/11/29/flew-americans-first-new-no-legroom-plane-heres-really-like/

About the lavs, the author neglects to consider how any woman would have trouble managing it.


It sounds spacious and luxurious compared to Spirit.
At my age a Life In Prison sentence is not much of a detrrent.
December 3rd, 2017 at 8:46:14 AM permalink
Nareed
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 346
Posts: 12545
Quote: Pacomartin
I think the CS100 was valued primarily because of it's ability to land at London City airport. The CS100 is a larger plane than the regional jets


I've said before the C Series can do for short and mid-haul travel what the 787 did for long haul. I don't propose that's what Delata will do, but the possibility remains there. If something breaks the legacy carrier's spoke and hub model, the C series will be it.
Donald Trump is a one-term LOSER
December 3rd, 2017 at 8:49:08 AM permalink
Nareed
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 346
Posts: 12545
Quote: DRich
It sounds spacious and luxurious compared to Spirit.


That accounts for the comment that it's not "the worst economy seat."

Doesn't that make for a great slogan? "American Airlines: not the worst seat in economy!"

BTW slimline seats are not exclusive to cheap legacy carriers trying to pack more people in. Interjet's newer planes have them, too, although they're still configured with 34" pitch and 150 seats per A320. My guess is they cost less (fewer materials) and certainly weigh less, thus requiring somewhat less fuel per flight.
Donald Trump is a one-term LOSER
December 3rd, 2017 at 12:31:50 PM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: Nareed
Reviews of the new densified AA 737-8 MAX are not good:


Boeing 737 MAX 8 seating
156 Silk Air 12 first class, 0 expanded, 144 economy (Singapore)
169 Air Canada 16 first class, 0 expanded, 153 economy
172 American 16 first class, 30 expanded, 126 economy
174 Westjet 12 first class, 0 expanded, 162 economy
175 Southwest 1-class {same number of seats as 737-800}
180 Lion Air 1-class (Indonesia)
189 Norwegian Air Shuttle 1-class {FAA exit limit}

Those NAS flights to Europe must be hell.


They modified the plane to get 200 seats for Ryan Air.
Quote: Boeing Launches 737 MAX 200 with Ryanair
- European low-cost carrier commits to order 100 airplanes, becomes launch customer of newest 737 MAX family member
- 737 MAX 200 provides 11 additional seats of potential revenue, up to 20 percent lower fuel use
NEW YORK, Sept. 8, 2014 /PRNewswire/ -- Boeing (NYSE: BA) launched the newest member of the 737 MAX family today with a commitment from Ryanair for 100 airplanes. Europe's leading low-cost carrier will be the first airline to operate the 737 MAX 200, a variant based on the successful 737 MAX 8 that can accommodate up to 200 seats, increasing revenue potential and providing customers up to 20 percent better fuel efficiency per seat than today's most efficient single-aisle airplanes.

In addition to the commitment, valued at $11 billion at current list prices, Ryanair has options to purchase another 100 737 MAX 200s.

"Ryanair is proud and honored to become the lead operator of Boeing's 'gamechanger' 737 MAX 200, which will expand our fleet to 520 aircraft by 2024 and create another 3,000 new jobs for pilots, cabin crew and engineers in Europe, while allowing us to grow traffic from 82 million last year to over 150 million annually by 2024," said Ryanair CEO Michael O'Leary.

"These new "gamechanger" aircraft will allow Ryanair to lower our costs and airfares, while improving our customer experience with more leg room and the Boeing Sky Interior, as we roll out new offers, particularly for our Business Plus and Family Extra customers. As many of Europe's flag carriers cut capacity on short haul routes, Ryanair looks forward to using these new Boeing 737 MAX 200s to grow at many more of Europe's primary airports," said O'Leary

Boeing developed the 737 MAX 200 in response to the needs of the fast growing low-cost sector, which is forecasted to account for 35 percent of single-aisle airline capacity by 2033. While the heart of the single-aisle market will remain at 160 seats, the 737 MAX 200 will provide carriers like Ryanair with up to 11 more seats of potential revenue and up to 5 percent lower operating costs than the 737 MAX 8, driving economic growth and increasing access to air travel.

With the addition of the 737 MAX 200, the 737 MAX family offers the right capacity to meet the needs across the single-aisle market.

"The 737 MAX 200 is the perfect fit for Ryanair, providing improved efficiencies, 20 percent lower emissions, increased revenues and a high level of passenger comfort," said Boeing Commercial Airplanes President and CEO Ray Conner. "The new variant will play a significant role in enabling the airline to continue to expand its operations, while providing passengers across Europe with outstanding value. For everyone at Boeing, it is an honor to launch the 737 MAX 200 with Ryanair, one of the world's most successful all-Boeing operators."

Based on the 737 MAX 8 airframe, the 737 MAX 200 can accommodate up to 200 seats by incorporating a mid-exit door increasing the exit limit. The airframe is 2.2 meters longer than the A320neo, giving customers more flexibility and space in the cabin, and offering a better solution at both the heart of the single-aisle market (160 seats) and at maximum passenger configurations.

Standard across the 737 MAX family, Ryanair's 737 MAX 200s will be configured with the passenger inspired Boeing Sky Interior, featuring modern sculpted sidewalls and window reveals, LED lighting that enhances the sense of spaciousness and larger pivoting overhead stowage bins.

With 2,239 orders from 46 customers worldwide, the 737 MAX family offers customers superior fuel efficiency, economics and passenger comfort in the single-aisle market.
December 3rd, 2017 at 4:27:40 PM permalink
Nareed
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 346
Posts: 12545
Quote: Pacomartin
Boeing 737 MAX 8 seating


The Southwest figures are a bit misleading. With only one class, the pitch is 32-33"

Quote:
Those NAS flights to Europe must be hell.


Now we know the road to hell is really lined up with cheap fares :)

I think the ULCCs ought to be renamed UHFCs; Ultra-High-Fee Carriers. It would be more accurate.

The problem is everyone else seems to be heading that way, too. Except Jet Blue, Southwest and Interjet (as far as I know; I keep hearing nice things about Porter up in Canada).
Donald Trump is a one-term LOSER