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Democrat Party Convention
| July 25th, 2016 at 9:36:07 AM permalink | |
| SOOPOO Member since: Feb 19, 2014 Threads: 22 Posts: 4170 |
Driving to work this morning my news station said the first poll taken after the latest email snafu had Trump ahead for the first time in the polls, by 3%. I don't think he would do it, but Bernie can 'blackmail' Hillary if he wants.... Him withdrawing support during his speech would tilt the election to Trump.... Since at age 70+ he has no real political future anyway, and his future is writing a book, giving speeches, etc.... Sanders could make it interesting.... Odds at 2%... |
| July 25th, 2016 at 10:40:37 AM permalink | |
| ams288 Member since: Apr 21, 2016 Threads: 29 Posts: 12509 |
Yes. Polls taken after one party's convention and before the other party's convention are historically very reliable. /sarcasm “A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman |
| July 25th, 2016 at 10:51:55 AM permalink | |
| SOOPOO Member since: Feb 19, 2014 Threads: 22 Posts: 4170 |
I didn't say they were reliable. But saying Trump is a sinking ship upon his first time leading since he and Hillary are the presumptive nominees makes no sense. Watching DWS being booed off the stage by DEMOCRATS leads me to wonder whose ship is taking on water...... I think we need one more big Hillary mess up to actually tip the election, come November, in favor of Trump. I'd still be betting on Hillary laying 2-1 odds. |
| July 25th, 2016 at 11:17:12 AM permalink | |
| ams288 Member since: Apr 21, 2016 Threads: 29 Posts: 12509 |
Perhaps "sinking ship" wasn't the right analogy for Trump. Here's a better one: If Hillary is a slowly sinking ship at the moment, then Trump is the Titanic, decomposing at the bottom of the ocean for over 100 years now.... “A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman |
| July 25th, 2016 at 11:33:30 AM permalink | |
| Evenbob Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 146 Posts: 25011 |
Remember, all the inside wisdom said last spring that Hillary would be ahead by 30 points during the conventions. Looks like they were off by a tad.. If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose. |
| July 25th, 2016 at 11:38:58 AM permalink | |
| Evenbob Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 146 Posts: 25011 | "NATE SILVER: Donald Trump Would Most Likely Win The Election If It Were Held Today" "Silver gave the Republican nominee a 57.5% chance of winning the presidency. Presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton had a 42.5% chance of securing the nation's highest office if voters were to take to the polls Monday." http://www.businessinsider.com/nate-silver-donald-trump-polls-2016-7 If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose. |
| July 25th, 2016 at 12:19:12 PM permalink | |
| ams288 Member since: Apr 21, 2016 Threads: 29 Posts: 12509 |
Source??!?! This is literally insane nonsense. What is "inside wisdom," anyway? NO ONE claimed Hillary would be ahead by 30 points at any time. Just crazy. Stop making stuff up. “A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman |
| July 25th, 2016 at 12:42:21 PM permalink | |
| Nareed Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 346 Posts: 12545 | I know the location for the party conventions is set long before there is a nominee. But does it strike anyone else that this year's cities were a really bad omen from the start? :) Donald Trump is a one-term LOSER |
| July 25th, 2016 at 12:48:03 PM permalink | |
| ams288 Member since: Apr 21, 2016 Threads: 29 Posts: 12509 |
Remember when the RNC was considering Las Vegas for theirs? that could have been fun.... “A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman |
| July 25th, 2016 at 12:51:29 PM permalink | |
| Nareed Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 346 Posts: 12545 |
On the other hand, if this year's Titanic of a candidate proved nothing else, it's that the religious right no longer equals the GOP base. So Vegas would have been of limited help there. Donald Trump is a one-term LOSER |