Electoral College Vote Predictions

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November 2nd, 2020 at 10:06:08 PM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: Wizard
I predict 290 for Biden. Here are my state by state predictions.
Note that if Pennsylvania goes for Trump, Biden still wins 270 to 268. However, Arizona for Biden is a shaky prediction. Note that if my predictions are right, except PA goes for Trump and one of Maine's congressional districts goes for Trump, we would have an electoral college tie. You heard that here first. A faithless elector(s) might determine the presidency too.


Can you imagine the riots if a faithless elector(s) determines the presidency?
In case of a tie, Trump should win a contingent election 37 to 23 (using your voting predictions). I am presuming states will vote the same as their popular vote.

State Electoral Votes Winner
California 55 B
New York 29 B
Illinois 20 B
Pennsylvania 20 B
Michigan 16 B
New Jersey 14 B
Virginia 13 B
Washington 12 B
Arizona 11 B
Massachusetts 11 B
Maryland 10 B
Minnesota 10 B
Wisconsin 10 B
Colorado 9 B
Connecticut 7 B
Oregon 7 B
Nevada 6 B
New Mexico 5 B
Hawaii 4 B
New Hampshire 4 B
Rhode Island 4 B
Delaware 3 B
District of Columbia 3 B
Vermont 3 B
Maine (3) 3 B
Maine (1) 1 B
290 B
Texas 38 T
Florida 29 T
Ohio 18 T
Georgia 16 T
North Carolina 15 T
Indiana 11 T
Tennessee 11 T
Missouri 10 T
Alabama 9 T
South Carolina 9 T
Kentucky 8 T
Louisiana 8 T
Oklahoma 7 T
Arkansas 6 T
Iowa 6 T
Kansas 6 T
Mississippi 6 T
Utah 6 T
West Virginia 5 T
Idaho 4 T
Alaska 3 T
Montana 3 T
North Dakota 3 T
South Dakota 3 T
Wyoming 3 T
Nebraska (4) 4 T
Nebraska (1) 1 T
November 3rd, 2020 at 3:58:09 AM permalink
Wizard
Administrator
Member since: Oct 23, 2012
Threads: 239
Posts: 6095
Quote: Pacomartin
Can you imagine the riots if a faithless elector(s) determines the presidency?


Half the country would be furious.

Don't forget that 2016 had seven faithless electors.
Knowledge is Good -- Emil Faber
November 3rd, 2020 at 4:57:56 AM permalink
AZDuffman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 135
Posts: 18204
Quote: Wizard
Half the country would be furious.

Don't forget that 2016 had seven faithless electors.


Maybe we get a tie and Hillary says "TAKE THAT JOE!" and votes for Trump!
The President is a fink.
November 3rd, 2020 at 6:29:36 AM permalink
SOOPOO
Member since: Feb 19, 2014
Threads: 22
Posts: 4170
Quote: AZDuffman
Maybe we get a tie and Hillary says "TAKE THAT JOE!" and votes for Trump!


I would personally pay $1,000 for that to happen!!! What a legacy for Hillary to be solely responsible for Trump’s second term!

I stand by my prediction of Biden landslide. Wins EC BY >100. I am NOT good at these predictions... but..... we will know in a few days....
November 3rd, 2020 at 7:03:14 AM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 29
Posts: 12506
Quote: SOOPOO
I would personally pay $1,000 for that to happen!!! What a legacy for Hillary to be solely responsible for Trump’s second term!

I stand by my prediction of Biden landslide. Wins EC BY >100. I am NOT good at these predictions... but..... we will know in a few days....


I like that you actually provided a definition for "landslide."

It bugs me when people say "xxxx is going to win in a landslide!" and don't actually say what they consider a landslide to be.
“A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman
November 3rd, 2020 at 8:47:59 AM permalink
DRich
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 51
Posts: 4961
Quote: ams288
I like that you actually provided a definition for "landslide."

It bugs me when people say "xxxx is going to win in a landslide!" and don't actually say what they consider a landslide to be.


In my opinion a landslide would be a win by over 125 electoral votes.
At my age a Life In Prison sentence is not much of a detrrent.
November 3rd, 2020 at 9:01:00 AM permalink
terapined
Member since: Aug 6, 2014
Threads: 73
Posts: 11791
Quote: Wizard
I predict 290 for Biden. Here are my state by state predictions.

State Electoral Votes Winner
Alabama 9 T
Alaska 3 T
Arizona 11 B
Arkansas 6 T
California 55 B
Colorado 9 B
Connecticut 7 B
Delaware 3 B
District of Columbia 3 B
Florida 29 T
Georgia 16 T
Hawaii 4 B
Idaho 4 T
Illinois 20 B
Indiana 11 T
Iowa 6 T
Kansas 6 T
Kentucky 8 T
Louisiana 8 T
Maine (1) 1 B
Maine (3) 3 B
Maryland 10 B
Massachusetts 11 B
Michigan 16 B
Minnesota 10 B
Mississippi 6 T
Missouri 10 T
Montana 3 T
Nebraska (1) 1 T
Nebraska (4) 4 T
Nevada 6 B
New Hampshire 4 B
New Jersey 14 B
New Mexico 5 B
New York 29 B
North Carolina 15 T
North Dakota 3 T
Ohio 18 T
Oklahoma 7 T
Oregon 7 B
Pennsylvania 20 B
Rhode Island 4 B
South Carolina 9 T
South Dakota 3 T
Tennessee 11 T
Texas 38 T
Utah 6 T
Vermont 3 B
Virginia 13 B
Washington 12 B
West Virginia 5 T
Wisconsin 10 B
Wyoming 3 T


Note that if Pennsylvania goes for Trump, Biden still wins 270 to 268. However, Arizona for Biden is a shaky prediction. Note that if my predictions are right, except PA goes for Trump and one of Maine's congressional districts goes for Trump, we would have an electoral college tie. You heard that here first. A faithless elector(s) might determine the presidency too.

My State by state prediction is the same as the Wiz except Biden takes FL NC GA for 350 electoral votes
Sometimes we live no particular way but our own - Grateful Dead "Eyes of the World"
November 3rd, 2020 at 9:43:43 AM permalink
Shrek
Member since: Aug 13, 2019
Threads: 6
Posts: 1635
I had no idea that Arnold Snyder (yes the blackjack guy!) is one of the good guys when it comes to politics. (He's supporting Trump!)

Anyway someone on Reddit posted a link to his website, and he's giving live election updates.
I'll definitely trust his info more than any of the scumbags in the mainstream media!!

https://toplessvegasonline.com/election-day-live/

*Yes, it's on his strip club website, so hopefully it's ok to post this link here. If not, I apologize to the mods.
November 3rd, 2020 at 9:51:16 AM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 29
Posts: 12506
Quote: Shrek
I had no idea that Arnold Snyder (yes the blackjack guy!) is one of the good guys when it comes to politics. (He's supporting Trump!)

Anyway someone on Reddit posted a link to his website, and he's giving live election updates.
I'll definitely trust his info more than any of the scumbags in the mainstream media!!

https://toplessvegasonline.com/election-day-live/

*Yes, it's on his strip club website, so hopefully it's ok to post this link here. If not, I apologize to the mods.


😂😂😂

“The MSM can’t be trusted! Please visit this strip club website for the REAL story!”

Priceless.
“A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman
November 3rd, 2020 at 11:27:52 AM permalink
Shrek
Member since: Aug 13, 2019
Threads: 6
Posts: 1635
This what Arnold Snyder wrote within the past hour:
Quote:
Florida, 10:30 am PT
Republicans are now up 123k in all combined early and ED voting in Florida. That’s 10k over Trump’s win in 2016.

Florida indies are voting 47.9% by mail (favorable to D’s), 52.1% by in-person early vote and ED (favorable to R’s), with a lot more ED to go. Indies are highly likely skewing red.

Monroe County, Florida: Dems total early & ED = 14,008. GOP total early and ED = 15,716. That’s a 1708 margin for Trump with half of ED still to go. GOP is in line to beat 2016 here. No Democrat has ever won Florida without winning Monroe.

Marco Rubio: “Early turnout reports indicate Florida is witnessing a GOP voter participation percentage of historic proportions.”

https://toplessvegasonline.com/election-day-live/

Lookin good! 👍
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