Electoral College Vote Predictions

November 3rd, 2020 at 11:54:24 PM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
- Trump, + Clinton EV 2016 State or CD
-8.1% 18 Ohio
-5.1% 16 Georgia
-3.7% 15 North Carolina
-3.5% 11 Arizona
-2.2% 1 Nebraska CD#2
-1.2% 29 Florida
-0.8% 10 Wisconsin
-0.7% 20 Pennsylvania
-0.2% 16 Michigan
0.4% 4 New Hampshire
1.5% 10 Minnesota
2.4% 6 Nevada
3.0% 2 Maine (at large)
4.9% 9 Colorado
5.3% 13 Virginia
8.2% 5 New Mexico


As of 3AM Eastern time, it looks like as if Trump's only change from 2016 it that he will probably lose AZ.

Trump is still ahead in Wisconsin with 92% reporting and in Michigan with 72% reporting. Even if Trump ends up losing PA (with only 64% reporting, he is still ahead), he still wins the election.
November 4th, 2020 at 12:07:14 AM permalink
Wizard
Administrator
Member since: Oct 23, 2012
Threads: 239
Posts: 6095
I think the uncounted votes will cut Biden's way. May or may not be enough to get out of the holes.
Knowledge is Good -- Emil Faber
November 4th, 2020 at 3:07:32 AM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: Wizard
I think the uncounted votes will cut Biden's way. May or may not be enough to get out of the holes.


If Biden gets NV and WI as expected he will have 254 votes (the congressional districts in Nebraska and Maine haven't been tabulated yet). So if he wins MI (16) or PA (20) he wins the election. PA may not have a decision by tomorrow.

Either way it is close enough at this point that you can expect Trump to contest the results. I think we are almost certain to have riots.
November 4th, 2020 at 8:57:22 AM permalink
reno
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 58
Posts: 1384
Quote: Pacomartin
As of 3AM Eastern time, it looks like as if Trump's only change from 2016 it that he will probably lose AZ.


In addition to AZ, Biden also flipped Nebraska's 2nd district.
November 4th, 2020 at 11:30:45 AM permalink
DRich
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 51
Posts: 4961
Quote: Pacomartin


Either way it is close enough at this point that you can expect Trump to contest the results. I think we are almost certain to have riots.


Wisconsin requires the vote to be within 1% for a recount. It looks like it will be much less than 1%.
At my age a Life In Prison sentence is not much of a detrrent.
November 4th, 2020 at 12:31:08 PM permalink
Fleastiff
Member since: Oct 27, 2012
Threads: 62
Posts: 7831
Quote: DRich
Wisconsin requires the vote to be within 1% for a recount. It looks like it will be much less than 1%.
IFFERENCE BETWEEN AN AUTOMATIC RECOUNT AND A CANDATE REQUESTED RECOUNT.
November 4th, 2020 at 1:07:43 PM permalink
Shrek
Member since: Aug 13, 2019
Threads: 6
Posts: 1635
Very shady shit happening in Michigan and Wisconsin!! Look at these graphs man!!

So you're telling me all of a sudden out of nowhere, a bunch of votes for Creepy Joe magically appear???????????

VOTER FRAUD!!!!!!!!!!!


November 4th, 2020 at 2:01:49 PM permalink
rxwine
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 189
Posts: 18755
Looks like Giuliani is paused on cavorting with underage girls to head Trump's advance lawyer team to Pennsylvania.
You believe in an invisible god, and dismiss people who say they are trans? Really?
November 4th, 2020 at 5:35:23 PM permalink
reno
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 58
Posts: 1384
Trump is suggesting that the Democrats cheated, rigged, and stole the election.

Supposedly the Democrats did this cheating across many states in different parts of the country (NV, AZ, MI, WI, PA, Nebraska).

But for some reason, the Dems' cheating didn't remove McConnell, Ernst, Graham, Collins, Tillis, Cornyn, or Cotton from power.

The Dems' cheating didn't add seats to the House of Representatives.

And most importantly, the Dems' cheating didn't flip a single state legislature, even though doing so would have limited GOP gerrymandering in future elections.

NEWS FLASH: the Dems didn't cheat. Trump lost, fair & square.
November 4th, 2020 at 7:12:40 PM permalink
rxwine
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 189
Posts: 18755
Quote: reno
Trump is suggesting that the Democrats cheated, rigged, and stole the election.

Supposedly the Democrats did this cheating across many states in different parts of the country (NV, AZ, MI, WI, PA, Nebraska).

But for some reason, the Dems' cheating didn't remove McConnell, Ernst, Graham, Collins, Tillis, Cornyn, or Cotton from power.

The Dems' cheating didn't add seats to the House of Representatives.

And most importantly, the Dems' cheating didn't flip a single state legislature, even though doing so would have limited GOP gerrymandering in future elections.

NEWS FLASH: the Dems didn't cheat. Trump lost, fair & square.


That's been my complaint. If we were cheating why'd we do a half ass job of it.
You believe in an invisible god, and dismiss people who say they are trans? Really?