Electoral College Vote Predictions

November 4th, 2020 at 9:06:04 PM permalink
reno
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 58
Posts: 1384
Quote: Shrek
VOTER FRAUD!!!!!!!!!!!


Please teach us about the conspiracy, Shrek. We have so much to learn from you.

Tell us about how the Wizard knew ahead of time about the results. Did he orchestrate the conspiracy?

Teach us, Shrek.
November 5th, 2020 at 12:56:21 AM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: Wizard
Note that if Pennsylvania goes for Trump, Biden still wins 270 to 268.


Trump ahead by 164,000 votes with 89% reporting


Quote: Wizard
Note that if Pennsylvania goes for Trump, Biden still wins 270 to 268.


Still the most likely scenario, but for some reason NV has only counted 75% of votes. Trump trails by only 8000 votes.

Quote: Wizard
However, Arizona for Biden is a shaky prediction.


Biden won by a fairly strong percentage (2.4%) in AZ. It won't be even close to the narrowest race in 2020.

Under 5% in 2016 was 25% of Electoral College Votes
- Trump, + Clinton EV State or CD
-3.7% 15 North Carolina
-3.5% 11 Arizona
-2.2% 1 Nebraska
-1.2% 29 Florida
-0.8% 10 Wisconsin
-0.7% 20 Pennsylvania
-0.2% 16 Michigan
0.4% 4 New Hampshire
1.5% 10 Minnesota
2.4% 6 Nevada
3.0% 2 Maine
4.9% 9 Colorado



Quote: Wizard
Note that if my predictions are right, except PA goes for Trump and one of Maine's congressional districts goes for Trump, we would have an electoral college tie. You heard that here first. A faithless elector(s) might determine the presidency too.


It looks like Trump won 2nd district in Maine, and Biden won 2nd district in Nebraska cancelling each other out. A tie seems very unlikely at this poinnt. Too bad for Trump since he is almost certain to win contingent election, but he may end up losing by 2 EC votes.

If Trump loses by 2 votes, I think he will run again despite his age.
November 5th, 2020 at 2:50:59 AM permalink
Shrek
Member since: Aug 13, 2019
Threads: 6
Posts: 1635
The libbies plan in MI and WI worked to perfection!!!


November 5th, 2020 at 5:42:27 AM permalink
Fleastiff
Member since: Oct 27, 2012
Threads: 62
Posts: 7831
i see NOTHING wrong or suspicious in those states. Nothing. Some blustering, but big deal.
gun
November 5th, 2020 at 5:56:40 AM permalink
AZDuffman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 135
Posts: 18136
Quote: Shrek
The libbies plan in MI and WI worked to perfection!!!




We said it would happen the whole time.

There was no logical reason for mail-in voting. It was to stuff ballots, plain and simple.
The President is a fink.
November 5th, 2020 at 6:00:46 AM permalink
Fleastiff
Member since: Oct 27, 2012
Threads: 62
Posts: 7831
Quote: AZDuffman
Quote: Shrek
There was no logical reason for mail-in voting. It was to stuff ballots, plain and simple.
November 5th, 2020 at 7:38:55 AM permalink
terapined
Member since: Aug 6, 2014
Threads: 73
Posts: 11786
CNN still has not called AZ while FOX called AZ election night. I hear Fox personalities are furious with the Fox decision desk. Interesting where CNN is taking a careful approach. Fox of all news organizations called the election for Biden essentially
Sometimes we live no particular way but our own - Grateful Dead "Eyes of the World"
November 5th, 2020 at 7:39:45 AM permalink
terapined
Member since: Aug 6, 2014
Threads: 73
Posts: 11786
Dup post
Sometimes we live no particular way but our own - Grateful Dead "Eyes of the World"
November 5th, 2020 at 9:06:01 AM permalink
rxwine
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 188
Posts: 18633
Quote: AZDuffman


We said it would happen the whole time.



Bah. And a 100% could guess Trump would claim cheating if he couldn't outright win. Lawsuit is his middle name.
You believe in an invisible god, and dismiss people who say they are trans? Really?
November 5th, 2020 at 9:40:41 AM permalink
AZDuffman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 135
Posts: 18136
Quote: rxwine
Bah. And a 100% could guess Trump would claim cheating if he couldn't outright win. Lawsuit is his middle name.


We said there would be problems with the mail-in ballots. Not exactly a "guess" but seeing the problems a mile away.
The President is a fink.