 |
 |
Electoral College Vote Predictions
| November 5th, 2020 at 6:27:03 PM permalink | |
| Pacomartin Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 1068 Posts: 12569 |
Seems reasonable, leaning to conservative as Hillary secured less than 85% in 2016. Trump 2016 Philadelphia - Area Philadelphia 15.37% Delaware 37.18% Montgomery 37.44% Chester 43.20% Pittsburgh - Area Allegheny 39.91% |
| November 5th, 2020 at 6:34:47 PM permalink | |
| JCW09 Member since: Aug 27, 2018 Threads: 12 Posts: 847 | Going through GA now, looking not good for Trumpie Remaining count in Fulton alone could be 12K+ pick up for Biden. Lots of little red counties with hundreds of vote pick ups for Trump Looks tough to offset, stay tuned. Def. of Liar - "A Person Who Tells Lies" / "I lied. Deal with it" - ams288 |
| November 5th, 2020 at 6:45:33 PM permalink | |
| terapined Member since: Aug 6, 2014 Threads: 73 Posts: 11791 |
https://alex.github.io/nyt-2020-election-scraper/battleground-state-changes.html This is a fabulous website regarding what's left to count and what % is needed in uncounted votes to flip the state I saw this link on WOV , clicked on it and it simply made the situation crystal clear. thanks Gamerfreak Sometimes we live no particular way but our own - Grateful Dead "Eyes of the World" |
| November 5th, 2020 at 6:47:10 PM permalink | |
| ams288 Member since: Apr 21, 2016 Threads: 29 Posts: 12521 | PA is a lock for Biden. He’s even getting more of the remaining votes in the super red counties because all that is left is the mail-in absentees. “A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman |
| November 5th, 2020 at 6:53:44 PM permalink | |
| terapined Member since: Aug 6, 2014 Threads: 73 Posts: 11791 |
As of 12 min ago Biden down 42K 316K est. left to count Biden needs 57% to overtake Trump and he is at 72% for these dumps Biden really needs PA to lock up election and prevent a faithless elector from hijacking the election Sometimes we live no particular way but our own - Grateful Dead "Eyes of the World" |
| November 5th, 2020 at 6:58:36 PM permalink | |
| terapined Member since: Aug 6, 2014 Threads: 73 Posts: 11791 | GA close but it looks like Biden will do it Just an estimated 10k left to count Biden down by almost 2k Biden needs 59% of remaining uncounted and is running at 66% for these dumps Sometimes we live no particular way but our own - Grateful Dead "Eyes of the World" |
| November 5th, 2020 at 7:03:16 PM permalink | |
| JCW09 Member since: Aug 27, 2018 Threads: 12 Posts: 847 |
My GA analysis is way off from the above site that only shows 11K left to go. I had Biden picking up 23K votes (12K from Fulton County alone). That would have Biden winning by 20K Looks like the above site has less than 11K left to count Trump up by 1900, Biden needs 58.7% of the remaining to catch up This election is unbelievably close, no landslide I guess :-) Focus is going to turn to GA Senate Run Off races if GA flips to Biden Def. of Liar - "A Person Who Tells Lies" / "I lied. Deal with it" - ams288 |
| November 5th, 2020 at 7:03:42 PM permalink | |
| Pacomartin Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 1068 Posts: 12569 |
Trump Lead as of Thursday night (10:PM eastern time) 76,701 North Carolina 41,962 Pennsylvania 1,902 Georgia -11,438 Nevada |
| November 5th, 2020 at 7:16:01 PM permalink | |
| terapined Member since: Aug 6, 2014 Threads: 73 Posts: 11791 |
No doubt I was wrong on the landslide I have no problem admitting When I get it wrong I was wrong in 2016, Picked Clinton, somewhat wrong in 2020 predicting a landslide but did pick Biden which is a likely win :-) Sometimes we live no particular way but our own - Grateful Dead "Eyes of the World" |
| November 5th, 2020 at 8:15:47 PM permalink | |
| JCW09 Member since: Aug 27, 2018 Threads: 12 Posts: 847 |
There is some of that, but lots of the smaller super reds numbers aren't reporting any change yet, so they are still to come. Mercer reported (68% Red before the last dump) and I had that as a decent pick up for Trump, but Biden got the majority of them. Strong Blue Counties have reported some but not all yet (think Philly & Delaware) Did I hear Alleghany stopped counting for the day? Big potential Biden pick up there (I have it at like 14K move for Biden). Def. of Liar - "A Person Who Tells Lies" / "I lied. Deal with it" - ams288 |