Scottish independence -- How would you vote?

Interesting, seems no-one has run an exit poll. Last polls suggest 53/47 for NO. I think I'm happy I only got a bit down on the YES at 7/2 and didn't take up the wizard on any more. Obviously a small deflection in the poll will have a larger deflection in the price when it gets close to the final vote, and a 60/40 poll wouldn't mean a 3:2 bet on YES being 'value'.

I saw 52/48 on the NO. They said more than 97% of eligible voters registered for this, which I think is seriously cool; it will be a truly democratic result, assuming they all vote.

I do think the NO will take it. Cameron asked very nicely. :)

Quote: TheCesspit

Oil wells run out. The geographical location of the active wells change. WRT to North Sea Oil : "The production is expected to fall to one-third of its peak by 2020".

Wells run dry, so you drill new ones, you acid treat, you frack. The problem is the welfare state using the money, not the wells running dry.

Quote: AZDuffman

Wells run dry, so you drill new ones, you acid treat, you frack. The problem is the welfare state using the money, not the wells running dry.

If the reserves the country has run out, they run out. There is not an infinite amount of oil. How you use that finite resource is of course important.

Quote: TheCesspit

If the reserves the country has run out, they run out. There is not an infinite amount of oil. How you use that finite resource is of course important.

All resources are finite as is the universe itself. The key is to manage the resource and develop new resources. Oil is no different.

At current rates of consumption in 1973 the USA should have run out of oil by now. Yet we have more proven reserves today than in 1973.

First poll result NO 19,036 YES 16,350. I think the remote islands get to count and report the result by phone. Each area is apparently in charge of recounts if any so no reason to centralize the physical ballots.

Quote: AZDuffman

All resources are finite as is the universe itself. The key is to manage the resource and develop new resources. Oil is no different.

At current rates of consumption in 1973 the USA should have run out of oil by now. Yet we have more proven reserves today than in 1973.

The USA is a far larger place than Scotland. I have no doubt there is more untapped reserves in different places.

Those places may not be the North Sea, or anywhere else in the territory of Scotland. To pretend it's the panacea to all their ills is as short sighted as spunking all the tax revenue up the walls on tax cuts or welfare benefits or whatever cockamamie idea that the UK OR Scotland come up with.

Of course, some people think Oil is produced from the carbon remaining in the earth's crust and not from dead animals, so the reserves are to some extent reprehensible. The cross section of people who believe this and the young earth theory of creation is large.

29K NO 21K YES

Quote: kenarman

29K NO 21K YES

Early doors, it was suggested that the remote islands are more likely to vote NO... as they don't really like the Scotland First Minsters power centralization. There have been early calls for the Orkneys to have their own referendum to leave an independent Scotland... and probably rejoin the UK!

Yes the smaller polling areas will be more rural and likely more conservative and more likely to vote NO. The YES vote will attract those that are unhappy with the world and feel any change has to be better than what they have.

Not to make light of the centuries of differences between Scotland and England but I think it is partially a reflection of the world wide changes in the balance of power going from the West to the East. As this progresses and accelerates the West's standard of living is going continue to fall. People will be madder than hell and looking for someone to blame.