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Vote on final tally

Poll

	Hillary breaks 486 from LBJ 1964		1 vote (12.5%)
	Hillary breaks Bill's 379 from 1996		2 votes (25%)
	Hillary breaks Bill's 370 from 1992		No votes (0%)
	Hillary breaks Obama's 365 from 2008		No votes (0%)
	Hillary breaks Obama's 359 from 2008 w new census		No votes (0%)
	Hillary breaks Obama's 332 from 2012		No votes (0%)
	Hillary breaks 307 from JFK 1960		1 vote (12.5%)
	Hillary breaks 303 from Truman 1948		1 vote (12.5%)
	Hillary breaks 297 from Carter 1976		No votes (0%)
	Hillary loses		3 votes (37.5%)

8 members have voted

October 21st, 2016 at 6:47:59 AM permalink

Pacomartin

Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569

Vote on thresholds for final tally for EV college votes . All Democratic wins after WWII are included.

At the start of this election, I never figured that Hillary would win a state that Obama lost. Obama won by the narrowest margins in Ohio, Florida, and Virginia which adds up to 60 electoral collage votes. Had Obama lost all three he would have had 272 EV votes, 2 more than the 270 he needed to win the election.

Tim Kaine was chosen primarily because he would bring strength to VA (United States Senator from Virginia) and FL (fluent gringo Spanish).

LBJ only lost six states with the 1964 electoral college votes adding up to 52
12 Georgia
10 Alabama
10 Louisiana
8 South Carolina
7 Mississippi
5 Arizona
52

Trump is almost certain to win the following 9 states with 49 EC votes, no matter what kind of video or audio tape appears in the last week
Alabama (9)
Kentucky (8)
Oklahoma (7)
Arkansas (6)
West Virginia (5)
Idaho (4)
Nebraska (4)
North Dakota (3)
Wyoming (3)