Presidential Election 2020 Biden vs. Trump

Poll
6 votes (33.33%)
9 votes (50%)
No votes (0%)
No votes (0%)
No votes (0%)
No votes (0%)
No votes (0%)
3 votes (16.66%)

18 members have voted

August 28th, 2020 at 2:34:32 AM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 29
Posts: 12568
Quote: kenarman
Quote: ams288
Remember when Donny’s campaign slogan was going to be “Keep America Great”?

Well, that was before his ineptitude tanked the economy and killed 180,000 Americans.

www.keepamericagreat.com


With 180,000 to chose from could you please provide detailed information on at least one death caused by your president.


Easy:

“A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman
August 28th, 2020 at 4:37:05 AM permalink
AZDuffman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 135
Posts: 18255
Remember how the libs demanded the GOP cancel their convention due to the china virus? Bet they wish they didn't after this!

The President is a fink.
August 28th, 2020 at 5:11:05 AM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: SOOPOO
That does not mean he has a 50% chance to win. The included vig, has him around 46% chance to win, Biden around 54%. Still..... they may be listed as even at the end of the Republican Convention.


Odds -> Implied Probability
-118 Biden -> 54.1%
+100 Trump -> 50.0%

I thought you averaged the two together to get expected values:
Biden expected to win by (54.1%+50.0%)/2 = 52.05% and
Trump expected to win by 100%-52.05%=47.95%
August 28th, 2020 at 6:06:36 AM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 29
Posts: 12568
Quote: AZDuffman
Remember how the libs demanded the GOP cancel their convention due to the china virus? Bet they wish they didn't after this!


Yeah, the lefties are shaking in their boots this morning because they were able to spell "TRUMP" with fireworks last night.

The election is essentially over now...
“A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman
August 28th, 2020 at 6:39:16 AM permalink
Wizard
Administrator
Member since: Oct 23, 2012
Threads: 239
Posts: 6095
Quote: Pacomartin
Odds -> Implied Probability
-118 Biden -> 54.1%
+100 Trump -> 50.0%

I thought you averaged the two together to get expected values:
Biden expected to win by (54.1%+50.0%)/2 = 52.05% and
Trump expected to win by 100%-52.05%=47.95%


It doesn't make much difference, but I take the average of the lines and then get the probability from that.

In this case the Biden probability would be 109/209 = 52.15%.
Knowledge is Good -- Emil Faber
August 28th, 2020 at 7:13:06 AM permalink
kenarman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 14
Posts: 4530
Quote: ams288
Quote: kenarman
Quote: ams288
Remember when Donny’s campaign slogan was going to be “Keep America Great”?

Well, that was before his ineptitude tanked the economy and killed 180,000 Americans.

www.keepamericagreat.com


With 180,000 to chose from could you please provide detailed information on at least one death caused by your president.


Easy:



I was unable to find any contact tracing for Cain. Yes we do know he was at a Trump rally without a mask and tested positive 9 days later. Without contact tracing that is not cause and effect that he even caught it at the rally, or if he did that is Trump's fault or the lack of a mask. All you have there is the MSM anti Trump spin that you love so much.
"but if you make yourselves sheep, the wolves will eat you." Benjamin Franklin
August 28th, 2020 at 7:26:51 AM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 29
Posts: 12568
Quote: kenarman
I was unable to find any contact tracing for Cain.


Probably because Donny’s failed response to the virus has not made contract tracing a priority in the US.

A real leader like Biden would have listened to the experts early on and made increased testing and contract tracing a priority. Donny said it would magically go away and was too busy focusing on his next round of golf.

And here we are. The laughing stock of the world now...
“A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman
August 28th, 2020 at 7:44:12 AM permalink
kenarman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 14
Posts: 4530
Quote: ams288
Probably because Donny’s failed response to the virus has not made contract tracing a priority in the US.

A real leader like Biden would have listened to the experts early on and made increased testing and contract tracing a priority. Donny said it would magically go away and was too busy focusing on his next round of golf.

And here we are. The laughing stock of the world now...


The US has the highest level of testing in the world thanks to your President making it a priority and ramping up production of test kits. You should occasionally get out of your MSM bubble and see what is happening in the world. Contact tracing is a state responsibility.
"but if you make yourselves sheep, the wolves will eat you." Benjamin Franklin
August 28th, 2020 at 8:00:05 AM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 29
Posts: 12568
Quote: kenarman
The US has the highest level of testing in the world thanks to your President making it a priority and ramping up production of test kits. You should occasionally get out of your MSM bubble and see what is happening in the world. Contact tracing is a state responsibility.


“And I said to my people, SLOW THE TESTING DOWN PLEASE!” -DJT
“A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman
August 28th, 2020 at 8:19:52 AM permalink
kenarman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 14
Posts: 4530
Quote: ams288
“And I said to my people, SLOW THE TESTING DOWN PLEASE!” -DJT


USA Today March 24 "WASHINGTON – The Trump administration said late Tuesday it was able to secure additional coronavirus test kits without wielding its powers under the Defense Production Act, despite announcing earlier that it planned to use the law for the first time to obtain the materials."
"but if you make yourselves sheep, the wolves will eat you." Benjamin Franklin