 |
 |
Bac Dragon Question
| April 1st, 2014 at 12:50:44 AM permalink | |
| Evenbob Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 146 Posts: 25011 | This is driving me nuts. Lets say you're a system Superman and have a system that beats bac 100% of the time. You win every hand. How does this effect the dragon bet. You bet the dragon every hand and win every time you're supposed to. Does the HE for the dragon change or remain the same. Damned if I know. If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose. |
| April 1st, 2014 at 2:51:07 AM permalink | |
| Pacomartin Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 1068 Posts: 12569 | A player who could hypothetically choose his bet after the cards were dealt would win 100% of the time. A player who could hypothetically choose his bet after the cards were deal 1 out of 10 times would have a hypothetical edge of about 9%. But since the dragon bet is unrelated to who wins or loses the hand, I would assume the HE would remain the same. Now if you doctored the deck to remove all cards of a certain denomination, you might be able to give the player an advantage. That would change the Dragon bet. But you would have to determine how you would do that. |
| April 1st, 2014 at 8:24:03 AM permalink | |
| TheCesspit Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 23 Posts: 1929 |
This appears to have escaped the WoV board... It is said that your life flashes before your eyes just before you die.... it's called Life |
| April 1st, 2014 at 8:35:39 AM permalink | |
| Face Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 61 Posts: 3941 |
I reckon he's got something in store for post #15,000 and doesn't want to waste it on stupid Bac =) Be bold and risk defeat, or be cautious and encourage it. |
| April 1st, 2014 at 9:41:34 AM permalink | |
| beachbumbabs Member since: Sep 3, 2013 Threads: 6 Posts: 1600 |
My impression as well. Never doubt a small group of concerned citizens can change the world; it's the only thing ever has |
| April 1st, 2014 at 12:49:40 PM permalink | |
| Evenbob Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 146 Posts: 25011 |
So even if you win 100% of the dragon bets, its still a bad bet? If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose. |
| April 1st, 2014 at 1:36:06 PM permalink | |
| Pacomartin Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 1068 Posts: 12569 |
Perhaps I don't understand the question. If Superpunter wins 100% of the baccarat hands, he still won't necessarily win 100% of the dragon bets. |
| April 1st, 2014 at 2:12:54 PM permalink | |
| Evenbob Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 146 Posts: 25011 |
He'll win all those that are qualified to win. How many dragon winners are in a typical shoe. I read the average 30/1 winners per shoe is 2, for instance. The others must have an average per shoe also. If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose. |
| April 1st, 2014 at 10:03:58 PM permalink | |
| Evenbob Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 146 Posts: 25011 | Well, that's embarrassing. In looking for an answer on Google I stumbled on a thread on this very subject I started 6 years ago on another forum. I hashed it out with them and we figured it out. I'd forgotten about it because I dropped the matter and never went back to it. So I answered my own question. I got humbled by me. I hate when that happens. If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose. |