Upcoming Primaries

May 18th, 2016 at 7:15:05 PM permalink
Aussie
Member since: May 10, 2016
Threads: 2
Posts: 458
Other than if he were to die, under what circumstances would Trump NOT be the nominee? He can still be bet at 1 to 25 which seems strange to me when he will get a majority of delegates. I only have a basic knowledge of the process though.
May 18th, 2016 at 7:26:18 PM permalink
Wizard
Administrator
Member since: Oct 23, 2012
Threads: 241
Posts: 6108
Quote: Aussie
Other than if he were to die, under what circumstances would Trump NOT be the nominee? He can still be bet at 1 to 25 which seems strange to me when he will get a majority of delegates. I only have a basic knowledge of the process though.


I think death or announcing the whole thing was a joke would be the only ways he wouldn't get it. That's why I'm willing to pay up on the bet I had he wouldn't win. I think I gave +450 odds too. Ouch! Who would predicted it, other than EB?
Knowledge is Good -- Emil Faber
May 18th, 2016 at 7:55:15 PM permalink
Dalex64
Member since: Mar 8, 2014
Threads: 3
Posts: 3687
He could do something stupid and be forced to withdraw.
Or something more exotic and less likely, the republicans could risk lawsuits and unrest that might tear the party apart by changing the rules.

I think the likelyhood that "he might do something stupid" is probably the biggest reason that it is 1:25 instead of something more along the lines of 1:100

Is there a similar line regarding the likelyhood of clinton getting the nomination?
"Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not to his own facts." Daniel Patrick Moynihan
May 18th, 2016 at 8:40:18 PM permalink
Aussie
Member since: May 10, 2016
Threads: 2
Posts: 458
Clinton is currently the same odds. 1 to 25 available.
May 18th, 2016 at 8:47:37 PM permalink
Evenbob
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 148
Posts: 25978
Quote: Dalex64

Or something more exotic and less likely, the republicans could risk lawsuits and unrest that might tear the party apart by changing the rules.


He's going to have about 1400 delegates,
good luck changing any rules.

I don't get any of this. Trump is 10 times
more qualified compared to that never owned
anything, got zero experience running
anything bozo Obama in 2008. Where
was the outcry that he shouldn't be
president. Trump has actually made
decisions that effected positively the lives
of thousands of people, for decades. Obama
was was a professional candidate who had
done squat. Yet we thought he would be
just wonderful. Look at how that turned
out, worse president than Carter, probably
worst in history.
If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose.
May 19th, 2016 at 12:15:34 AM permalink
Evenbob
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 148
Posts: 25978
Not the so called bimbo's again. Why can't
people just leave the Clinton's ugly sordid past
alone, Bill's old now. He's really sorry for all
of it, especially for raping Juanita Broderick.
Really really really sorry.. But Trump, that rascal,
he's going to educate a few people on this.


"Trump has made clear in recent weeks that he intends to make Bill Clinton's sexual history a key campaign issue, describing him at rallies and on social media as "the worst abuser of women in the history of politics" and labeling his wife an "enabler."

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/05/19/trump-refers-to-alleged-bill-clinton-sexual-indiscretions-as-rape.html
If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose.
May 19th, 2016 at 12:19:09 AM permalink
rxwine
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 217
Posts: 22942
Quote: Evenbob
I don't get any of this. Trump is 10 times
more qualified compared to that never owned
anything, got zero experience running
anything bozo Obama in 2008. Where
was the outcry that he shouldn't be
president. Trump has actually made
decisions that effected positively the lives
of thousands of people, for decades. Obama
was was a professional candidate who had
done squat. Yet we thought he would be
just wonderful. Look at how that turned
out, worse president than Carter, probably
worst in history.


Obama could probably get reelected to a third term if allowed.
"Trumpsplain (def.) explaining absolute nonsense said by TRUMP.
May 19th, 2016 at 2:42:51 AM permalink
AZDuffman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 137
Posts: 21195
Quote: rxwine
Obama could probably get reelected to a third term if allowed.


Sadly he probably could with the cult of personality that follows him. He is of course not the first nor will he be the last, which is why they made the law in the first place.
War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength
May 19th, 2016 at 3:59:24 AM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 29
Posts: 13466
Obama could absolutely get elected for a third term. Especially against a weak know-nothing like John Miller.
“A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman
May 19th, 2016 at 4:14:02 AM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: Evenbob
"Trump has made clear in recent weeks that he intends to make Bill Clinton's sexual history a key campaign issue, describing him at rallies and on social media as "the worst abuser of women in the history of politics" and labeling his wife an "enabler."


Do you think that this strategy is the surest path to a win, or do you think he should take a higher road?