Why is Apple Crashing?

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August 14th, 2016 at 4:52:40 AM permalink
AZDuffman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 137
Posts: 21195
Quote: Pacomartin
Hitting a low of $90 on May 12, 2016, Apple is back up to $108.

CNBC Michael Yoshikami (CEO and founder of Destination Wealth Management in Walnut Creek, California) points out that "the price makes no sense given that Apple has $250 billion of cash in the bank, a price to earnings ratio much lower than the market and a massive cash flow generation operation despite slowing phone sales."

He thinks that Tim Cook should get a little more of Tesla's moxie.


Perhaps Apple is just being priced rationally and Tesla is not? The cash hoard is a bad thing as much as a good one these days.
War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength
August 14th, 2016 at 8:15:00 AM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: AZDuffman
Perhaps Apple is just being priced rationally and Tesla is not? The cash hoard is a bad thing as much as a good one these days.


China is Apple’s second-largest market and a source of massive potential growth. The company’s revenue there grew 14% in the 4th quarter 2015, and a staggering 99% in the quarter before that. For 1st quarter 2016 however, Apple’s growth in China was negative, dropping 26%.
August 14th, 2016 at 8:38:14 AM permalink
AZDuffman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 137
Posts: 21195
Quote: Pacomartin
China is Apple’s second-largest market and a source of massive potential growth. The company’s revenue there grew 14% in the 4th quarter 2015, and a staggering 99% in the quarter before that. For 1st quarter 2016 however, Apple’s growth in China was negative, dropping 26%.


Anything about China is a caution sign to me. We don't know how much is fake over there. OTOH the people with money are more consumerish than the average American. Years back I read how people changed cell phones every six months to get the new features. Phone market has changed but they will probably still be consumerish. Asian cultures seem to be more about branding than the west.
War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength
August 14th, 2016 at 10:42:45 AM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: AZDuffman
Anything about China is a caution sign to me. We don't know how much is fake over there. OTOH the people with money are more consumerish than the average American. Years back I read how people changed cell phones every six months to get the new features. Phone market has changed but they will probably still be consumerish.


Worldwide sales of iPhones declined from $51.6 billion to $24.4 billion in two quarters.

The iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus were announced on September 9, 2014, and released on September 19, 2014. Consumers went crazy over the larger screens, and replaced older models in record numbers.
The iPhone 6S and iPhone 6S Plus were announced on September 9, 2015 in San Francisco by Apple Inc. CEO Tim Cook without a radical new innovation.


Quote: Time
There are two clear reasons for declining iPhone sales. First, wireless carriers are killing off their hardware subsidies. That means many people are feeling the full cost of their smartphones for the first time, leading some to keep their devices for longer periods of time without upgrading. Apple is trying to fight this effect with a kind of leasing program, but how successful that effort has been is unclear. (This problem is affecting all smartphone makers, not just Apple.)

Second, the iPhone 6 and 6 Plus set a high bar for iPhone sales — shoppers simply went nuts for their larger-than-ever form factors. But making iPhones a little bigger is a trick Apple can only pull off once. (The iPhone 6s and 6s Plus, which feature more minor upgrades, have had trouble matching their predecessors’ success.) Whether Apple’s next iPhone can match the magic of the 6 remains to be seen.


Quote: AZDuffman
Asian cultures seem to be more about branding than the west.


You see that in Hawaii. The resorts that market to Asians tend to be ostentatious in design, while many resorts that market to mainland Americans are more subtle.

We've always had a counterculture trend in America, which affects even the very wealthy children. That seems to be very lacking in Asia.
August 14th, 2016 at 1:03:41 PM permalink
terapined
Member since: Aug 6, 2014
Threads: 76
Posts: 12501
I've never ever been an apple person ever
Stuff seemed over priced when other cheaper products get the job done
Computers - always windows based
Personal music player - sony hi-md
Phone - Samsung
Sometimes we live no particular way but our own - Grateful Dead "Eyes of the World"
August 14th, 2016 at 4:50:00 PM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: terapined
I've never ever been an apple person ever
Stuff seemed over priced when other cheaper products get the job done
Computers - always windows based
Personal music player - sony hi-md
Phone - Samsung


Well, I am even cheaper than you.

Computer - Linux based
Personal music player - LG android
Phone - Alcatel

But Apple sold 13 million watches to do a job that nobody even knew needed to be done. So you are obviously not the target customer (nor am I). Apple has sold roughly a billion iPhones.
August 14th, 2016 at 4:58:07 PM permalink
AZDuffman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 137
Posts: 21195
Quote: Pacomartin



You see that in Hawaii. The resorts that market to Asians tend to be ostentatious in design, while many resorts that market to mainland Americans are more subtle.


I think that modern consumerism hit Asia 30-50 years after the USA so they are where we once were. If they get more people going back to being more subtle we shall see. Perhaps with so much population crammed so tight together makes people feel a need to stand out with the latest and greatest?

I haven't noticed it so much in Asian-Americans.
War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength
August 14th, 2016 at 5:00:22 PM permalink
AZDuffman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 137
Posts: 21195
40-80 million units by my rough estimates.
War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength
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