Should Ben Carson drop out now
February 2nd, 2016 at 4:58:18 AM permalink | |
Pacomartin Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 1068 Posts: 12569 | February 6, 2016 – Goffstown, New Hampshire The eighth debate will be held in New Hampshire, the first state to hold primaries, and will air on ABC News and be sponsored by Independent Journal Review. It is scheduled to be held in the St Anselm's College Institute of Politics. The eighth debate will not feature an undercard event. To participate in the debate, a candidate must either place among the top 3 candidates in the popular vote of the Iowa caucus, or place among the top 6 candidates in an average of New Hampshire or national polls recognized by ABC News. Only polls conducted no earlier than January 1 and released by February 4 will be included in the averages. Unless Carson suddenly surges past Christie in the polls in the next three days, it looks like he won't be invited to the debate next Tuesday Cruz, Trump, Rubio top 3 candidates in the popular vote of the Iowa caucus Cruz, Trump, Rubio + Kasich, Bush, Christie probable top 6 in polls in New Hampshire I think it might be time to move on. He should be pretty valuable right now. I think these guys should probably quit as well, but Rand Paul will probably keep trying to get TV time. Paul Fiorina Santorum |
February 2nd, 2016 at 6:26:47 AM permalink | |
Nareed Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 346 Posts: 12545 | I'd be willing to chip in with $5 to send him to Giza to look for evidence that grain was ever stored in the pyramids. <roll-eyes> Donald Trump is a one-term LOSER |
February 3rd, 2016 at 7:09:19 PM permalink | |
beachbumbabs Member since: Sep 3, 2013 Threads: 6 Posts: 1600 | Paco, You probably know this, but Paul suspended his campaign this afternoon. Never doubt a small group of concerned citizens can change the world; it's the only thing ever has |
February 3rd, 2016 at 7:25:58 PM permalink | |
AZDuffman Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 135 Posts: 18212 | d Didn't Santorum also? The President is a fink. |
February 3rd, 2016 at 7:32:55 PM permalink | |
beachbumbabs Member since: Sep 3, 2013 Threads: 6 Posts: 1600 |
I think you're right. I just saw it on the scroller under the news. Good catch! Never doubt a small group of concerned citizens can change the world; it's the only thing ever has |
February 4th, 2016 at 6:44:14 AM permalink | |
Pacomartin Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 1068 Posts: 12569 |
Officially, the choices for the next debate are not made until all possible qualifying polls are released as 5 p.m. ET tomorrow. With Huckabee, Santorum, and Paul out of the race, that leaves only Carson and Fiorina as potential exclusions from the debate. Carly wrote a letter yesterday to the RNC complaining that she will be the only one left out of the debate. I didn't realize that there was a third way to qualify. It looks like Carson will probably qualify under the third criteria. The first and second criteria are redundant. Carson is probably in top 6 nationwide, but not in NH.
|
February 4th, 2016 at 6:51:35 AM permalink | |
Wizard Administrator Member since: Oct 23, 2012 Threads: 239 Posts: 6095 | I have a $50 bet at 10-1 with SOOPOO on Ben Carson to win the GOP nomination. I asked to get out of with SOOPOO and he said I could for $49. Knowledge is Good -- Emil Faber |
February 4th, 2016 at 7:02:04 AM permalink | |
Evenbob Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 146 Posts: 25011 |
Mr Wimpy as president? Bad bet. That guy scares me in that he got even this far. If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose. |
February 4th, 2016 at 7:05:12 AM permalink | |
Nareed Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 346 Posts: 12545 | A more relevant question is whether the extended silly season is finally over. usually it ends in September. In October when it runs long. I guess we'll know in the next few primaries. Donald Trump is a one-term LOSER |
February 4th, 2016 at 8:05:52 AM permalink | |
Pacomartin Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 1068 Posts: 12569 | The latest poll UMass Lowell/7News 2/1 - 2/3 36% Trump 15% Rubio 14% Cruz 10% all other candidates below threshold Which means Trump will get 71% of vote (himself plus all candidates below threshold) compared to 49.60%+15.60%=65.2% :1980 run for Ronald Reagan 39.30%+20.90%=60.2% :2012 run for Mitt Romney 37.10%+20.10%=57.2% :2008 run for John McCain However, as 2/12=16.67% that means that Rubio and Cruz will probably round up to two delegates apiece, leaving 8 delegates for Trump. Romney and McCain got 7 delegates apiece in 2008 and 2012. Trump could end up accumulating a lot of delegates like this unless another four people drop out of the race before Super Tuesday (March 1). |