Upcoming Primaries

May 11th, 2016 at 8:49:42 AM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 29
Posts: 12584
Quote: kenarman
It appears the left is already starting to grasp at straws. Not many posts ago it was going to be a landslide for Hillary now you are worry about a couple of percent a polls mix of respondents might be off.


Trump will lose.

That I am confident of.

No grasping at straws here, as much as you'd like to see that.

You simply can't become President when women, blacks, Hispanics, etc. hate your guts.

White guys hate Hillary's guts, but they don't pick Presidents anymore. It's 2016.
“A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman
May 11th, 2016 at 8:51:28 AM permalink
Nareed
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 346
Posts: 12545
Quote: ams288
You simply can't become President when women, blacks, Hispanics, etc. hate your guts.


True, but so far women and African Americans don't hate Trump's guts.
Donald Trump is a one-term LOSER
May 11th, 2016 at 8:52:44 AM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 29
Posts: 12584
Quote: Nareed
True, but so far women and African Americans don't hate Trump's guts.


Yeah they do.
“A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman
May 11th, 2016 at 10:19:34 AM permalink
terapined
Member since: Aug 6, 2014
Threads: 73
Posts: 11826
Quote: Evenbob
Oh my, this is turning around rather quickly.
Trump has only been the nominee for a week.
Oh well, Hillary has six long months to turn
on that charm and boundless energy to get
her big lead back. (snicker)

REUTERS ROLLING: HILLARY 41.3%, TRUMP 40.0%...

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TM651Y15_13/filters/LIKELY:1/dates/20160505-20160510/type/day


Yawn
Its the electoral college that matters lol
Bookies were warming to Trump
He went as high as 2 to 1
Some still have him at 2/1 but reality is setting in for longer odds of about 9/4
Clinton still hovering at around 4/12 or 2/5

Bookies are still confident that Clinton will win
I'm giddy :-)

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2016/winner
Sometimes we live no particular way but our own - Grateful Dead "Eyes of the World"
May 11th, 2016 at 5:08:33 PM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: terapined
Bookies are still confident that Clinton will win

PRIMARY VOTES
10,924,682 Trump so far 2016 with big states left
10,031,336 Mitt Romney in 2012
9,902,797 John McCain in 2008
7,853,863 GW Bush no opposition in 2004
12,034,676 GW Bush in 2000 (43 states+ D.C.)
9,024,742 Bob Dole in 1996
9,199,463 GHW Bush in 1992
8,253,512 GHW Bush in 1988
6,484,987 Ronald Reagan no opposition in 1984
7,709,793 Ronald Reagan in 1980
5,529,899 Gerald Ford in 1976
5,378,704 Richard Nixon in 1972 (won all 50 states)
1968 only 12 primaries

It is looking like Trump will get another million+ votes and have the highest number of votes since GOP had primaries in every state.

I still consider Hillary the front runner, but these record number of primary voters make you think.If Trump can bring out voters that don't normally vote, then he might be able to close the gap in the battlefield.

Obama vs Romney in 2012
Florida 50.01% to 49.13%
Ohio 50.67% to 47.69%
Virginia 51.16% to 47.28%
Colorado 51.49% to 46.13%
Pennsylvania 51.97% to 46.59%
New Hampshire 51.98% to 46.40%
May 11th, 2016 at 6:24:52 PM permalink
terapined
Member since: Aug 6, 2014
Threads: 73
Posts: 11826
Quote: Pacomartin

It is looking like Trump will get another million+ votes and have the highest number of votes since GOP had primaries in every state.

I still consider Hillary the front runner, but these record number of primary voters make you think.If Trump can bring out voters that don't normally vote, then he might be able to close the gap in the battlefield.


On the flip side
From the Washington Post

In California, the number of Hispanics registering to vote doubled in the first three months of this year compared with the same period in 2012, according to state data. In Texas, naturalization ceremonies in Houston have swelled to about 2,200 per month, compared with 1,200 before, according to an analysis by the Houston Chronicle. More than 80 percent of those naturalized then register to vote, compared with 60 percent previously.
According to the most recent national statistics, more than 185,000 citizenship applications were submitted in the final three months of 2015, up 14 percent from the year before and up 8 percent compared with the same period ahead of the 2012 elections.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trumps-candidacy-sparking-a-surge-in-citizenship-voter-applications/2016/05/11/33808f34-177a-11e6-924d-838753295f9a_story.html?hpid=hp_rhp-top-table-main_latinos-3pm%3Ahomepage%2Fstory
Sometimes we live no particular way but our own - Grateful Dead "Eyes of the World"
May 11th, 2016 at 6:30:45 PM permalink
Evenbob
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 146
Posts: 25013
FREAKOUT AS TRUMP PULLS EVEN!

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-idUSKCN0Y21TN
If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose.
May 11th, 2016 at 6:36:50 PM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 29
Posts: 12584
Quote: Evenbob


I'm looking forward to EvenBob's inevitable election night meltdown.
“A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman
May 11th, 2016 at 7:24:28 PM permalink
terapined
Member since: Aug 6, 2014
Threads: 73
Posts: 11826
Quote: Evenbob


"according to the online poll of 1,289 people conducted from Friday to Tuesday"

Gee an online poll and that's all they got.
Doesn't that number seem tiny considering its an online poll?


Hmm
1289 internet poll
Lets look at Florida
20 mil out of 318 mil
about 6.5% of the population
Out of 1289, maybe 84 from Florida participated just looking at odds
These numbers are tiny and meaningless
Its the electoral college baby
Still giddy :-) Giddy up :-)
Sometimes we live no particular way but our own - Grateful Dead "Eyes of the World"
May 11th, 2016 at 8:30:21 PM permalink
kenarman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 14
Posts: 4530
Quote: terapined
"according to the online poll of 1,289 people conducted from Friday to Tuesday"

Gee an online poll and that's all they got.
Doesn't that number seem tiny considering its an online poll?


Hmm
1289 internet poll
Lets look at Florida
20 mil out of 318 mil
about 6.5% of the population
Out of 1289, maybe 84 from Florida participated just looking at odds
These numbers are tiny and meaningless
Its the electoral college baby
Still giddy :-) Giddy up :-)


On-line polls usually favor the left, since the people more likely to reply on-line are younger and better educated.
"but if you make yourselves sheep, the wolves will eat you." Benjamin Franklin