First 100 Days of Trump
July 4th, 2017 at 6:14:01 PM permalink | |
Pacomartin Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 1068 Posts: 12569 |
The Republicans have a big majority, and are actually hoping to increase it. Front and center are those 12 districts with Democratic congressmen that Trump won by 0.7% to 30.8%. MN-07 Peterson, Collin 30.8% MN-08 Nolan, Rick 15.6% PA-17 Cartwright, Matt 10.1% MN-01 Walz, Tim 14.9% WI-03 Kind, Ron 4.5% IA-02 Loebsack, David 4.1% NY-18 Maloney, Sean 1.9% NJ-05 Gottheimer, Josh 1.1% NH-01 Shea-Porter, Carol 1.6% AZ-01 O'Halleran, Tom 1.1% NV-03 Rosen, Jacky 1.0% IL-17 Bustos, Cheri 0.7% Of course, there are 23 Districts with Republican Congressmen that voted against Trump, so the Democrats will start looking here. FL-27 Ros-Lehtinen, Ileana 19.7% FL-26 Curbelo, Carlos 16.1% CA-21 Valadao, David 15.5% VA-10 Comstock, Barbara 10.0% MN-03 Paulsen, Erik 9.4% CO-06 Coffman, Mike 8.9% CA-39 Royce, Ed 8.6% CA-49 Issa, Darrell 7.5% IL-06 Roskam, Peter 7.0% CA-25 Knight, Steve 6.7% CA-45 Walters, Mimi 5.4% AZ-02 McSally, Martha 4.9% NY-24 Katko, John 3.6% TX-23 Hurd, Will 3.4% CA-10 Denham, Jeff 3.0% WA-08 Reichert, David 3.0% PA-07 Meehan, Pat 2.3% TX-32 Sessions, Pete 1.9% CA-48 Rohrabacher, Dana 1.7% TX-07 Culberson, John 1.4% KS-03 Yoder, Kevin 1.2% NJ-07 Lance, Leonard 1.1% PA-06 Costello, Ryan 0.6% The betting position seems to be that Democrats make some inroads, but not enough to get a majority. Of course that could change by next year, |
July 4th, 2017 at 6:46:48 PM permalink | |
Evenbob Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 146 Posts: 25010 |
They have been saying that every year since the losing streak began in 2010. If you recall, last election the Repubs were supposed to lose the house AND the senate. They lost neither and only got stronger. They still have no message except hate Trump, and we saw what that got Hillary. Retirement to her wine cellar. If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose. |
July 5th, 2017 at 2:54:36 PM permalink | |
Evenbob Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 146 Posts: 25010 | Remember this Dem commercial full of hatred and violence that had Paul Ryan pushing granny off a cliff in 2010? Where was the outcry from CNN over the promotion of violence against the old? They loved this commercial: If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose. |
July 5th, 2017 at 5:10:35 PM permalink | |
terapined Member since: Aug 6, 2014 Threads: 73 Posts: 11786 |
ROTFL Its pretty funny Funny how EB gets so upset Ted Nugent goes after Obama or Clinton, I just yawn Some people on the right get so upset and have a cow. No sense of humor Take Ted Nugent, I either yawn or chuckle over his over the top antics. I love getting the last word when it comes to EB :-) Good to be the king lol Sometimes we live no particular way but our own - Grateful Dead "Eyes of the World" |
July 5th, 2017 at 6:09:25 PM permalink | |
ams288 Member since: Apr 21, 2016 Threads: 29 Posts: 12372 |
He really does. This right wing obsession with CNN is baffling. If CNN was as irrelevant as they say it is, they wouldn't have to keep criticizing it 24/7. “A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman |
July 5th, 2017 at 7:38:45 PM permalink | |
Pacomartin Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 1068 Posts: 12569 |
The word "Inroads" is a pretty minimal. It implies they will have more than a token net increase. In other words they may get above 200 which is still far short of the 218 they need for a majority. If nothing else, the fact that 23 Republican controlled districts voted for Hillary while only 12 Democratic controlled districts voted for Trump implies that Democrats will make some inroads. Democratic House members |
July 5th, 2017 at 8:27:53 PM permalink | |
Evenbob Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 146 Posts: 25010 |
Again, they've found 14 ways from Sunday since 2010 that in every election Dems should make inroads. So far it hasn't happened. If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose. |
July 6th, 2017 at 6:39:30 AM permalink | |
Nareed Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 346 Posts: 12545 | The GOP should worry what happens if the Senate flips. For one thing, the Democrats may well not confirm any further appointments Golden Boy makes, like a certain Republican party did to Obama. And this would include any further SCOTUS appointments. If the Court can operate fine with 8 members, it ought not do badly with 7 or just six, right? Another thing is the House, assuming it stays Republican, could pass any legislation it wanted, and the Senate simply would re-write the bills and pass them, which would grind the legislative process to a halt. Or the parties could try to compromise. Remember the Democratic advice, that it is better to get some of what you want than to go over the cliff with your flag flying? Oh, wait, no. That wasn't said by a Democrat... Donald Trump is a one-term LOSER |
July 6th, 2017 at 7:14:11 AM permalink | |
ams288 Member since: Apr 21, 2016 Threads: 29 Posts: 12372 |
The Senate won't flip. The Senate map is really quite awful for Dems in 2018, waaaaaay too many seats Dems have to defend. That's why they seem to be more optimistic and focused on the House. “A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman |
July 6th, 2017 at 7:37:07 AM permalink | |
Nareed Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 346 Posts: 12545 |
No way Golden Boy will win the nomination. [q[The Senate map is really quite awful for Dems in 2018, waaaaaay too many seats Dems have to defend. That's why they seem to be more optimistic and focused on the House. With the Trumpcare bill mess in the Senate now, they are facing two unappetizing choices: 1) Vote to repeal and replace and alienate a large number of voters, and 2) keep stalling on repeal and replace and piss off he base. Option one would cost many Senators their jobs in the midterms. Option two may cost many Senators their jobs in the primaries. And a challenge in the primaries means less funds for the midterm election. There is a third option, which is to repeal and not replace. That would piss off the base and the voters at large. You'd have to be an absolute Trump to back such an idiot move. Point is, it's possible. And who knows how else things may get screwed up between now and Nov 2018. Given who sits behind the desk at the Oval office, he may start a war in Korea just to keep Congress in "his" party's hands. Donald Trump is a one-term LOSER |