First 100 Days of Trump

Page 53 of 53« First<50515253
July 4th, 2017 at 6:14:01 PM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 705
Posts: 8134
Quote: Nareed
The GOP won't repudiate Trump en-masse until they have an electoral meltdown in the 2018 midterm elections. The problem is the Democrats have no idea how to bring it about.


The Republicans have a big majority, and are actually hoping to increase it.

Front and center are those 12 districts with Democratic congressmen that Trump won by 0.7% to 30.8%.
MN-07 Peterson, Collin 30.8%
MN-08 Nolan, Rick 15.6%
PA-17 Cartwright, Matt 10.1%
MN-01 Walz, Tim 14.9%
WI-03 Kind, Ron 4.5%
IA-02 Loebsack, David 4.1%
NY-18 Maloney, Sean 1.9%
NJ-05 Gottheimer, Josh 1.1%
NH-01 Shea-Porter, Carol 1.6%
AZ-01 O'Halleran, Tom 1.1%
NV-03 Rosen, Jacky 1.0%
IL-17 Bustos, Cheri 0.7%

Of course, there are 23 Districts with Republican Congressmen that voted against Trump, so the Democrats will start looking here.
FL-27 Ros-Lehtinen, Ileana 19.7%
FL-26 Curbelo, Carlos 16.1%
CA-21 Valadao, David 15.5%
VA-10 Comstock, Barbara 10.0%
MN-03 Paulsen, Erik 9.4%
CO-06 Coffman, Mike 8.9%
CA-39 Royce, Ed 8.6%
CA-49 Issa, Darrell 7.5%
IL-06 Roskam, Peter 7.0%
CA-25 Knight, Steve 6.7%
CA-45 Walters, Mimi 5.4%
AZ-02 McSally, Martha 4.9%
NY-24 Katko, John 3.6%
TX-23 Hurd, Will 3.4%
CA-10 Denham, Jeff 3.0%
WA-08 Reichert, David 3.0%
PA-07 Meehan, Pat 2.3%
TX-32 Sessions, Pete 1.9%
CA-48 Rohrabacher, Dana 1.7%
TX-07 Culberson, John 1.4%
KS-03 Yoder, Kevin 1.2%
NJ-07 Lance, Leonard 1.1%
PA-06 Costello, Ryan 0.6%


The betting position seems to be that Democrats make some inroads, but not enough to get a majority. Of course that could change by next year,
July 4th, 2017 at 6:46:48 PM permalink
Evenbob
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 107
Posts: 11124
Quote: Pacomartin

The betting position seems to be that Democrats make some inroads


They have been saying that every year since
the losing streak began in 2010. If you recall,
last election the Repubs were supposed to
lose the house AND the senate. They lost
neither and only got stronger. They still
have no message except hate Trump, and
we saw what that got Hillary. Retirement
to her wine cellar.
If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose.
July 5th, 2017 at 2:54:36 PM permalink
Evenbob
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 107
Posts: 11124
Remember this Dem commercial full of hatred
and violence that had Paul Ryan pushing granny
off a cliff in 2010? Where was the outcry from
CNN over the promotion of violence against
the old? They loved this commercial:

If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose.
July 5th, 2017 at 5:10:35 PM permalink
terapined
Member since: Aug 6, 2014
Threads: 35
Posts: 2999
Quote: Evenbob
Remember this Dem commercial full of hatred
and violence that had Paul Ryan pushing granny
off a cliff in 2010?


ROTFL
Its pretty funny
Funny how EB gets so upset
Ted Nugent goes after Obama or Clinton, I just yawn
Some people on the right get so upset and have a cow. No sense of humor
Take Ted Nugent, I either yawn or chuckle over his over the top antics.
I love getting the last word when it comes to EB :-)
Good to be the king lol
Sometimes we live no particular way but our own - Grateful Dead "Eyes of the World"
July 5th, 2017 at 6:09:25 PM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 11
Posts: 2097
Quote: terapined
ROTFL
Its pretty funny
Funny how EB gets so upset


He really does.

This right wing obsession with CNN is baffling. If CNN was as irrelevant as they say it is, they wouldn't have to keep criticizing it 24/7.
In order to insult me, I must first value your opinion
July 5th, 2017 at 7:38:45 PM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 705
Posts: 8134
Quote: Evenbob
They have been saying that every year since the losing streak began in 2010.


The word "Inroads" is a pretty minimal. It implies they will have more than a token net increase. In other words they may get above 200 which is still far short of the 218 they need for a majority.

If nothing else, the fact that 23 Republican controlled districts voted for Hillary while only 12 Democratic controlled districts voted for Trump implies that Democrats will make some inroads.

Democratic House members
104th 19951997 204
105th 19971999 207
106th 19992001 211
107th 20012003 212
108th 20032005 205
109th 20052007 202
110th 20072009 236
111th 20092011 257
112th 20112013 193
113th 20132015 201
114th 20152017 188
115th 2017-2019 194
July 5th, 2017 at 8:27:53 PM permalink
Evenbob
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 107
Posts: 11124
Quote: Pacomartin
implies that Democrats will make some inroads.


Again, they've found 14 ways from Sunday
since 2010 that in every election Dems
should make inroads. So far it hasn't
happened.
If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose.
July 6th, 2017 at 6:39:30 AM permalink
Nareed
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 319
Posts: 10857
The GOP should worry what happens if the Senate flips. For one thing, the Democrats may well not confirm any further appointments Golden Boy makes, like a certain Republican party did to Obama. And this would include any further SCOTUS appointments. If the Court can operate fine with 8 members, it ought not do badly with 7 or just six, right?

Another thing is the House, assuming it stays Republican, could pass any legislation it wanted, and the Senate simply would re-write the bills and pass them, which would grind the legislative process to a halt.

Or the parties could try to compromise.

Remember the Democratic advice, that it is better to get some of what you want than to go over the cliff with your flag flying?

Oh, wait, no. That wasn't said by a Democrat...
If Trump where half as smart as he thinks he is, he'd be twice as smart as he really is.
July 6th, 2017 at 7:14:11 AM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 11
Posts: 2097
Quote: Nareed
The GOP should worry what happens if the Senate flips.


The Senate won't flip. The Senate map is really quite awful for Dems in 2018, waaaaaay too many seats Dems have to defend. That's why they seem to be more optimistic and focused on the House.
In order to insult me, I must first value your opinion
July 6th, 2017 at 7:37:07 AM permalink
Nareed
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 319
Posts: 10857
Quote: ams288
The Senate won't flip.


No way Golden Boy will win the nomination.

[q[The Senate map is really quite awful for Dems in 2018, waaaaaay too many seats Dems have to defend. That's why they seem to be more optimistic and focused on the House.


With the Trumpcare bill mess in the Senate now, they are facing two unappetizing choices: 1) Vote to repeal and replace and alienate a large number of voters, and 2) keep stalling on repeal and replace and piss off he base.

Option one would cost many Senators their jobs in the midterms. Option two may cost many Senators their jobs in the primaries. And a challenge in the primaries means less funds for the midterm election.

There is a third option, which is to repeal and not replace. That would piss off the base and the voters at large. You'd have to be an absolute Trump to back such an idiot move.

Point is, it's possible.

And who knows how else things may get screwed up between now and Nov 2018. Given who sits behind the desk at the Oval office, he may start a war in Korea just to keep Congress in "his" party's hands.
If Trump where half as smart as he thinks he is, he'd be twice as smart as he really is.
Page 53 of 53« First<50515253