 |
 |
Democratic Nominee in 2020
Poll
| No votes (0%) | |||
 | 4 votes (18.18%) | ||
| | 2 votes (9.09%) | ||
| | 1 vote (4.54%) | ||
| No votes (0%) | |||
| | 1 vote (4.54%) | ||
| | 1 vote (4.54%) | ||
| | 8 votes (36.36%) | ||
| | 2 votes (9.09%) | ||
| | 3 votes (13.63%) |
22 members have voted
| September 2nd, 2020 at 1:39:59 PM permalink | |
| ams288 Member since: Apr 21, 2016 Threads: 29 Posts: 12556 |
Too bad EB never puts his money where his mouth is. I think he could get some good odds on Donny being ahead by “15 to 20 points.” “A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman |
| September 2nd, 2020 at 2:52:35 PM permalink | |
| Evenbob Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 146 Posts: 25013 |
Why, there's no way to prove it. We still don't know the actual real numbers of how much Trump was ahead a week before the election. But everybody is aware the polls cannot be trusted as was shown in the quote from big investment firms in NYC. They're gearing up for a Trump win because they know the polls are not trustworthy. If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose. |
| September 2nd, 2020 at 3:35:56 PM permalink | |
| Mission146 Administrator Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 23 Posts: 4147 |
Prove what? Prove that Trump will almost absolutely not win by 15 points short of some unforeseen and relatively unlikely event? It'll be proven in November. "War is the remedy that our enemies have chosen..let us give them all they want." William T. Sherman |
| September 2nd, 2020 at 4:18:41 PM permalink | |
| Evenbob Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 146 Posts: 25013 |
What the real poll numbers are. You can only guess because there is no reliable way to know. If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose. |
| September 2nd, 2020 at 4:36:12 PM permalink | |
| Mission146 Administrator Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 23 Posts: 4147 |
A 20+ point swing is a heck of an aggressive guess! "War is the remedy that our enemies have chosen..let us give them all they want." William T. Sherman |
| September 2nd, 2020 at 4:53:10 PM permalink | |
| ams288 Member since: Apr 21, 2016 Threads: 29 Posts: 12556 |
He’s just going to claim “fraud” when the actual numbers don’t match his outlandish predictions. “A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman |
| September 2nd, 2020 at 5:36:52 PM permalink | |
| Evenbob Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 146 Posts: 25013 |
Not when we know for a fact that 15% of Trump voters lie and say they're voting for Biden. Just like they lied in 16. Take 15'points from Biden and give 15 to Trump. That would make a 50/50 race a 65/35 race in Trump's favor. That's what happened in 2016 and probably worse now because we have TDS people to deal with. Real crazies who go postal on Trump supporters. If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose. |
| September 2nd, 2020 at 6:13:20 PM permalink | |
| ams288 Member since: Apr 21, 2016 Threads: 29 Posts: 12556 |
Is EB under the impression that Donny won 65/35 in 2016? And they said Biden is losing his mind! “A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman |
| September 2nd, 2020 at 6:57:18 PM permalink | |
| Mission146 Administrator Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 23 Posts: 4147 |
But, that didn’t happen in 2016. Clinton would have to have been polling in the low 60’s to Trump in the low 30’s for that to have been what happened. "War is the remedy that our enemies have chosen..let us give them all they want." William T. Sherman |
| September 2nd, 2020 at 7:31:38 PM permalink | |
| Pacomartin Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 1068 Posts: 12569 |
If Biden wins Hillary 232 EC votes, plua PA20 and MI 16 that would be 268. He would have to win Maine's 2nd congressional district. Of course Trump would have won 28 states. If no general election candidate receives a majority of the electoral votes—270—the Constitution requires that the House of Representatives will elect the president. And if that anti-democratic process isn’t bad enough, consider this perverse clause in the Constitution: Each state would receive one vote regardless of population. California, with nearly 40 million citizens, gets one vote. Wyoming, with fewer than 600,000, gets one vote. Go figure. Each House delegation would caucus and cast that state’s vote. How would that work out this fall? Thirty-two state delegations are controlled by Republicans, 15 by Democrats, three evenly split. The District of Columbia and the territories cannot vote.  The chances of that outcome not generating massive protests are about equal to this guy taking the toilet tissue offered to him by Robin. In particular if some of the states that voted for Biden end up voting for Trump because of the Republican control of the House delegation. |