Why aren't battery power vehicles cheaper?

July 14th, 2022 at 4:51:27 PM permalink
DRich
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 51
Posts: 4969
Quote: terapined
Quote: Tanko
Prices were bid up by idiots who used their stimulus checks to buy cars they couldn't afford.

Stimulus checks are gone, and now car repos are exploding.

'Lucky Lopez, told Barron’s about some doozies he’s seen: people making $2,500 a month saddled with $1,000 car payments.'

'Lopez says he recently bought a Bentley, McLaren and two Aston Martins—all purchased by buyers using PPP money as down payments, and all repossessed after few or no monthly payments.'

'Lopez says banks are in turn leasing more land to handle an expected car-repossession surge.'

'But based on what he says he has seen from banks, subprime repos have nearly doubled since 2020, to around 11% on average.'

This is great
A healthy used car market
Cool


I read today that car sales both new and used are cooling off. I doubt I will buy anther one this year but hopefully the inventories build up and the dealers are begging to get rid of them
At my age a Life In Prison sentence is not much of a detrrent.
July 14th, 2022 at 5:01:19 PM permalink
Gandler
Member since: Aug 15, 2019
Threads: 27
Posts: 4256
Quote: AZDuffman
When I did auto loans I got to see what they made on the credit application. The percent of income people accepted for a car payment blew my mind. Everyone is saying how the current payment is more or less with inflation, ignoring that we are now at over 6 years for the average loan term.

To me it is just more verification of the serf class being created in the USA. Having a car or house with no equity is little more than paying rent. Being off the car payment merry go round is so nice.


And, its even worse than is sounds, because cars rapidly decrease in value with age (and tend to require more maintenance with age). So if you get a 6-8 year car loan (or even up to 10 years in some cases), with little down, you are going to be upside down the whole way, even as you get close to paying it off. Something like 10-30% loss of value per year (obviously big range depending on make/model, average mileage, use, condition, etc....) , so this can be very unsustainable (and why many roll car debt into new car debt compounding the issue).

The only upside is you will pay less in insurance as your car becomes worth less.

At least with real property, it can (and often does) increase in value, so having less equity is not always the worst thing.
July 14th, 2022 at 5:08:08 PM permalink
DRich
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 51
Posts: 4969
Quote: Gandler
And, its even worse than is sounds, because cars rapidly decrease in value with age (and tend to require more maintenance with age). So if you get a 6-8 year car loan (or even up to 10 years in some cases), with little down, you are going to be upside down the whole way, even as you get close to paying it off. Something like 10-30% loss of value per year (obviously big range depending on make/model, average mileage, use, condition, etc....) , so this can be very unsustainable (and why many roll car debt into new car debt compounding the issue).

The only upside is you will pay less in insurance as your car becomes worth less.

At least with real property, it can (and often does) increase in value, so having less equity is not always the worst thing.


When I was a teenager my dad gave me some great advice. Never get a car loan that exceeds the bumper to bumper warranty on the car.
At my age a Life In Prison sentence is not much of a detrrent.
July 15th, 2022 at 3:09:15 AM permalink
Tanko
Member since: Aug 15, 2019
Threads: 0
Posts: 1988
I lease a new SUV, no money down, with all the latest technology, every three years.

I can purchase the one I currently lease for a previously agreed price, which is $9K below the current price of the vehicle. I will most likely purchase it, unless I can use that as leverage to negotiate a very favorable lease in six months.

Electric cars are too small, too unsafe, take forever to charge, lack styling and don't go far enough. On top of that, not enough charging stations, and the re-charge lines are building.
July 15th, 2022 at 5:45:12 AM permalink
DRich
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 51
Posts: 4969
Quote: Tanko
I lease a new SUV, no money down, with all the latest technology, every three years.

I can purchase the one I currently lease for a previously agreed price, which is $9K below the current price of the vehicle. I will most likely purchase it, unless I can use that as leverage to negotiate a very favorable lease in six months.

Electric cars are too small, too unsafe, take forever to charge, lack styling and don't go far enough. On top of that, not enough charging stations, and the re-charge lines are building.


I have made nice profits selling my last few leased cars. On one the sale accounted for almost all three years worth of payments that I made.
At my age a Life In Prison sentence is not much of a detrrent.
July 15th, 2022 at 3:00:47 PM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: DRich
I have made nice profits selling my last few leased cars. On one the sale accounted for almost all three years worth of payments that I made.

I guess there is no simple financial advice that makes sense in all markets.

I grew up thinking that lesing was for professionals who were looking for easy book keeping for tax purposes. Altnernatively it was for people who simply wanted the latest vehicles with no fuss and were resigned to making car payments for the rest of their life.

But I never thought that leases could be used for arbitrage.
July 15th, 2022 at 3:55:52 PM permalink
DRich
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 51
Posts: 4969
Quote: Pacomartin


But I never thought that leases could be used for arbitrage.


I was pretty shocked also.
At my age a Life In Prison sentence is not much of a detrrent.
July 16th, 2022 at 2:55:21 AM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: DRich
I was pretty shocked also.


Slightly over two years ago, I saw this post. I will note that the writer did not factor in "lost oppurtunity cost" (but most people don't). It affects your bragging dialogue.

Quote: May 21 2021,
When I purchased my Model 3 in 2018, I knew I was paying to be an early adopter of the model and expected steep depreciation going forward due to the novelty of BEVs. I expected competitors to come out with their own BEVs, which they did. But I was flat out wrong about the depreciation part.
I sold my Model 3 since my Model Y on order will be arriving shortly. My 3 had around 35k miles.
Here's the math:
Model 3 LR RWD out the door in 2018 (with taxes, license, etc) - $56,000 approx.
Subtract fed tax credit and SCE rebate - ($8,000)
---
Actual price I paid = $48,000
Price I sold for in 2021 - ($42,000)
---
Cost of Model 3 ownership over 2.5 years = $6,000
divide that by the 30 months I owned it and I'm left with a monthly payment of $200. With gas savings factored in, it comes down to something closer to $100 per month.


I will say that getting an extra 43 miles of range and AWD is probably not worth an extra $11,000

MSRP: $46,990 2022 Tesla Model 3 Rear Wheel Drive --Range: 272 miles (EPA est.) 50 kWh
MSRP: $57,990 2022 Tesla Model 3 Long Range -- Range: 315 miles (EPA est.) 75 kWh

I must say that Volvo seems to have come out with a worthy competitor to Tesla Model 3 (The IRS offers Tax Credit of up to $7,500 while Tesla no longer qualifies).
MSRP: $45,900 2022 Polestar 2 --Range: 270 miles (EPA est.) 78 kWh
July 16th, 2022 at 10:16:57 AM permalink
missedhervee
Member since: Apr 23, 2021
Threads: 96
Posts: 3103
I see that Ilani casino outside Portland has a lot of charging stations: smart move.

Assuming EV's become more common charging stations will be needed, and what better spot for them than businesses with adequate parking?

Wal-Mart in particular should jump in on this.

"Gee, I'll be idle for an hour or two; what can I do to pass the time?"

Gamble or shop, that's what.
July 16th, 2022 at 10:28:19 AM permalink
rxwine
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 189
Posts: 18764
Quote: missedhervee
I see that Ilani casino outside Portland has a lot of charging stations: smart move.

Assuming EV's become more common charging stations will be needed, and what better spot for them than businesses with adequate parking?

Wal-Mart in particular should jump in on this.

"Gee, I'll be idle for an hour or two; what can I do to pass the time?"

Gamble or shop, that's what.


I've noticed they've modeled public chargers much like gas pumps with hose. Seems unneccessary. Getting universal fixed outlets should work so you can just pull up. No fluids to spill. Kinda like my Roomba.
You believe in an invisible god, and dismiss people who say they are trans? Really?