Why aren't battery power vehicles cheaper?

June 18th, 2022 at 5:40:45 PM permalink
AZDuffman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 135
Posts: 18213
Quote: rxwine
I see quite a few in Florida. Not exactly cool here.


Not as hot as Phoenix, either. That last 20F makes a difference.
The President is a fink.
June 18th, 2022 at 6:10:27 PM permalink
kenarman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 14
Posts: 4525
You only have half the range with the heat also because you have to run the A/C.
"but if you make yourselves sheep, the wolves will eat you." Benjamin Franklin
June 18th, 2022 at 6:23:00 PM permalink
missedhervee
Member since: Apr 23, 2021
Threads: 96
Posts: 3103
This is just so unbelievably stupid, forcing EV's on us when the technology and infrastructure is not in place.

What were they thinking?
June 18th, 2022 at 7:27:28 PM permalink
rxwine
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 189
Posts: 18764
I guess no one told Phoenix it is too hot for EV

There's 4 Tesla dealerships in Arizona, the closest one to Phoenix is 12 minutes away.

Quote:
As of last summer, Arizona reported having 28,770 electric cars registered throughout the state, according to the U.S. Department of Energy.



April 2022.
The city's committee on electric vehicles has recently released a plan for how Phoenix could have up to 280,000 electric vehicles registered in the city by 2030.

Quote:
Some of the steps Phoenix has outlined for achieving this goal include:

Installing up to 500 electric vehicle charging stations on city property.
Buying at least 200 light-duty electric cars for the city's fleet.
Exploring the city's electric vehicle building codes.
Investigating opportunities to streamline the permitting process for installing workplace, business, and home charging stations.
Launching an awareness campaign on electric vehicles.


Now Duffman will explain how Tesla is giving a battery warranty of 8 years or 100,000 away for free because according to him they can't possibly last long enough.

Al gore got more right than Duff ever will.
You believe in an invisible god, and dismiss people who say they are trans? Really?
June 18th, 2022 at 11:29:26 PM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: missedhervee
Can somebody tell me where all the needed electricity will come from?

Before the year 2000 electrical production in the nation inreased at the following rate
Total Elec/yr decade Cumulative/decade
8.5% from 1950 to 1960 227%
7.3% from 1960 to 1970 202%
4.1% from 1970 to 1980 149%
2.9% from 1980 to 1990 133%
2.3% from 1990 to 2000 125%
0.8% from 2000 to 2010 109%
-0.3% from 2010 to 2020 97%


Petroleum is consumed in the year 2020 amounted to 9.437 trillion kWh (assuming 33.7 kWh per gallon).Transportation used 66% and light duty vehicles were 54% of transportation. Engines are about 38% efficient today. So Light Duty vehicles used 1.25 trillion kWh of petroleum in the year 2020.

Electricity generated in 2020 was 4.009 trillion kWh. So we would need an extra 1.25 trillion kWh, but we would probably have more than a decade to add that capacity. So we would have to recreate the percent increases of the 1990s, not earlier decades.

There is some problem with that analysis. The 4,009 billion kWh of electricity generated in 2020 came from the following sources
774 coal
792 renewables
790 nuclear
36 petroleum and other
1617 natural gas

So in addition to adding 1,380 kWh for EVs, we may want to replace some of the older dirtier sources (in particularly coal). Now California has pledged to eliminate nuclear and natural gas, so they have a bigger task,

Quote: missedhervee
I can sort of understand wanting to trade gas for electricity, but if the electricity is made by natural gas, coal-fired or nuclear methods then there is a nasty residue, same as with gasoline.

Time for cold fusion to be discovered, then "To Infinity and Beyond..."


Right now the region with the lowest carbon emissions from electricity is made in upstate New York state. Upstate has about 2% of nations population and primary sources are 25.0% natural gas, 32.2% nuclear, and 34.9% hydro.

California is 42.3% natural gas, 7.9% nuclear, and 16.1% hydro + roughly 33% renewables (mostly solar, but partly wind)

Despite not having a famous renewables program, upstate New York has 51.3% of the carbon emissions of California.

So right now upstate New York would see the greatest advantage in carbon dioxide emissions by switching from gasoline to electric vehicles.
But every state would see some advantage, but with Wyoming and West Virginia seeing the least since they are so heavily dependent on coal in electricity generation.

Here is ranking of states by carbon dioxide emissions produced from electrical generation. You might be surprised at how dirty Hawaii and colorado are on the list.
There was a proposal called the Plains & Eastern Clean Line a 720-mile , 4,000 MW long-distance HVDC transmission line to bring wind power in Oklahoma to consumers in the Southeastern and Mid-Atlantic United States via the existing Tennessee Valley Authority grid. It was cancelled.

lb/MWh State 2020 Census
1,975.623 WY 576,851
1,909.665 WV 1,793,716
1,672.575 KY 4,505,836
1,606.145 MO 6,154,913
1,554.915 UT 3,205,958
1,539.922 IN 6,785,528
1,515.223 HI 1,455,271
1,377.549 ND 779,094
1,252.806 NM 2,117,522
1,246.460 OH 11,799,448
1,212.208 CO 5,773,714
1,191.645 NE 1,961,504
1,184.878 WI 5,893,718
960.666 AK 733,391
946.006 AR 3,011,524
932.481 MI 10,077,331
905.729 MT 1,084,225
891.849 MS 2,961,279
871.213 MA 7,029,917
853.981 TX 29,145,505
839.010 FL 21,538,187
826.707 RI 1,097,379
800.120 DC 689,545
798.274 KS 2,937,880
765.049 MN 5,706,494
759.829 LA 4,657,757
753.581 DE 989,948
734.193 AZ 7,151,502
719.767 GA 10,711,908
717.845 AL 5,024,279
715.099 NV 3,104,614
706.728 OK 3,959,353
694.635 PA 13,002,700
644.846 NC 10,439,388
642.487 VA 8,631,393
642.240 MD 6,177,224
611.107 IA 3,271,616
568.143 TN 6,910,840
553.201 IL 12,801,989
526.669 CT 3,605,944
510.912 SC 5,118,425
490.089 NJ 9,288,994
451.514 CA 39,538,223
414.956 NY 20,201,249
340.365 OR 4,237,256
338.602 SD 886,667
244.114 NH 1,377,529
219.397 ME 1,362,359
212.839 ID 1,839,106
211.924 WA 7,705,281
22.915 VT 643,077

WA and ID have huge hydroelectric dams.

Vermont and Maine depend heavily on electricity from Seabrook Nuclear Power Plant in New Hampshire and Millstone Nuclear Power Plant in Connecticut.
June 19th, 2022 at 11:17:52 AM permalink
AZDuffman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 135
Posts: 18213
Quote: rxwine
I guess no one told Phoenix it is too hot for EV

There's 4 Tesla dealerships in Arizona, the closest one to Phoenix is 12 minutes away.




April 2022.
The city's committee on electric vehicles has recently released a plan for how Phoenix could have up to 280,000 electric vehicles registered in the city by 2030.



Now Duffman will explain how Tesla is giving a battery warranty of 8 years or 100,000 away for free because according to him they can't possibly last long enough.

Al gore got more right than Duff ever will.


Time will tell how it turns out. There was some study once how EV range went down in the cold winter which surprised nobody who lived n said cold areas even if the EV cult was. Phoenix heat kills car batteries. That cannot be disputed.

Algore said FL would be underwater by now didn’t he?
The President is a fink.
June 19th, 2022 at 11:31:08 AM permalink
missedhervee
Member since: Apr 23, 2021
Threads: 96
Posts: 3103
Just as the hippies in stumptown once drove Volvos, now there's lots of EV's in Portland.

It's a bonus that our moderate climate leads to maximum batter life locally.
June 19th, 2022 at 12:49:06 PM permalink
DRich
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 51
Posts: 4969
How long will it be before the majority of new cars being sold are electric?
At my age a Life In Prison sentence is not much of a detrrent.
June 19th, 2022 at 1:57:40 PM permalink
AZDuffman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 135
Posts: 18213
Quote: DRich
How long will it be before the majority of new cars being sold are electric?


At the moment many manufacturers are going at EVs like they went FWD in the 1980s. Eventually that was most of what they offered. Now, an EV is a far bigger adjustment than FWD was. But that does not mean some people will not just go along.

The first thing to see is what happens when more mainstream vehicles go EV. Do people want an EV or do they want a Tesla? Will the Camry driver want an EV same as the motorhead who wants a Mustang Mach?

A 2% market shift per year is considered big in the auto industry.
The President is a fink.
June 19th, 2022 at 2:20:26 PM permalink
missedhervee
Member since: Apr 23, 2021
Threads: 96
Posts: 3103
I'll not by an EV, "just because."

I maintain my old cars and take them on long trips; long trips are out of the picture with EV's due to difficulties in finding convenient charging stations plus the long amount of time needed for a full charge.

No, give me a few minutes at a gas station to "fill er up" and I'm off once again.