General Election 2024

I may have to go to the hospital after hearing DeSantis making an opening statement about his successes saying they beat the left on election integrity. I can only laugh so hard before hurting myself.

I watched very little of Haley / DeSantis debate, but I think Haley lost some of her mojo. She's the one who didn't always look comfortable in her skin at times.

Something seemed wrong with her make-up vs the lighting. She had a bit of unhappy schoolteacher slash pale corpse look at times.

Of course, I barely watched 10 minutes.

DeSantis was more relaxed and had a more contemporaneous delivery than usual. Same old a-hole as far as I can tell. I have no idea if he controlled his head bobbing during the debate. I saw him on an interview afterwards and his head was back on the Slinky.

Don’t think we will hear EB or kenarman touting these polls:

Quote:

Michigan: President Joe Biden leads Donald Trump 45% to 41% in MIRS/Northern Michigan Business Alliance survey conducted by Target Insyght. 800 sample. 1/4-1/10; +/-3.5% MOE.

Quote:

So we now have polls this week showing Biden leading Trump and beating his 2020 margins in MI, NH and PA.

(I’m still of the opinion that polls are meaningless this early, just gotta add some balance to the thread!)

Quote: ams288

Don’t think we will hear EB or kenarman touting these polls:





(I’m still of the opinion that polls are meaningless this early, just gotta add some balance to the thread!)

We can all Cherry Pick. My cherry is bigger than yours. That is why I usually only quote averages.

Craig Mauger
The Detroit News

President Joe Biden's support is on shaky ground in Michigan, and he trails Republican Donald Trump by 8 percentage points in a head-to-head matchup 10 months before the Nov. 5 election, according to a new statewide poll commissioned by The Detroit News and WDIV-TV (Channel

Quote: kenarman

We can all Cherry Pick. My cherry is bigger than yours. That is why I usually only quote averages

You love to quote averages from RCP, which is the most right wing biased averager out there.

Never forget:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/elections-map-rcp-projection.html

Quote: ams288

You love to quote averages from RCP, which is the most right wing biased averager out there.

Never forget:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/elections-map-rcp-projection.html

You like 538 and its average is weighted by Nathan Silver over RCP that lets the numbers be what ever the math says. You are in such a prejudice bubble AMS that you can't see it. I could go dig out the polls from 2016 where almost nobody had Trump winning but what is the point.

If one believes that there was hanky panky in 2020 election than your link helps prove it.

The polls mean very little until further down the road. They may help the candidates adjust their campaign, but the don't tell us much about who will win.

Biden is in a bit of a hole, but there is a ton of time left before the election. Lots can happen...

Quote: kenarman

You like 538 and its average is weighted by Nathan Silver over RCP that lets the numbers be what ever the math says. You are in such a prejudice bubble AMS that you can't see it. I could go dig out the polls from 2016 where almost nobody had Trump winning but what is the point.

If one believes that there was hanky panky in 2020 election than your link helps prove it.

Nate Silver isn't part of 538 anymore.

There was no hanky panky in 2020.

Quote: kenarman

You like 538 and its average is weighted by Nathan Silver over RCP that lets the numbers be what ever the math says. You are in such a prejudice bubble AMS that you can't see it. I could go dig out the polls from 2016 where almost nobody had Trump winning but what is the point.

If one believes that there was hanky panky in 2020 election than your link helps prove it.

Your dementia is kicking in again.

I haven’t looked at 538 in years. Nate Silver has nothing to do with it anymore too.