Challenge to FrGamble
August 28th, 2016 at 8:46:49 AM permalink | |
Aussie Member since: May 10, 2016 Threads: 2 Posts: 458 |
I took it to mean that he's saying the chance of a cure happening randomly is so remote that the only explaination is a divine miracle. I have heard the argument used to explain why evolution can not possibly be what really happened. Totally goes against any basic understanding of probability. |
August 28th, 2016 at 9:43:23 AM permalink | |
rxwine Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 189 Posts: 18762 | There is usually a small percentage of people who recover from otherwise deadly diseases, sometimes not even knowing they have them. Read about the miracle of Mary Mallon - scientifically documented. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mary_Mallon You believe in an invisible god, and dismiss people who say they are trans? Really? |
August 28th, 2016 at 11:47:43 AM permalink | |
Evenbob Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 146 Posts: 25011 |
Calling anything a miracle is the fly in the ointment. If you have a list of reasons for why something happened, miracle should never be on the list. Of course, for 'believers', it's right near the top. I've found that miracle people have little or no understanding of how random chance works. Nor do they want to, it doesn't fit their model for the world. FrG seems to think it's a miracle that when you visit Lourdes, the atmosphere there is loving and spiritual. Nothing mysterious about it. Everybody who goes there has pre programmed themselves to have a loving, spiritual experience and so they do. The same thing happens at yoga retreats. You meet the nicest, smartest people and and have a wonderful peaceful time. We go there with that intention in mind. If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose. |
August 29th, 2016 at 6:08:47 AM permalink | |
pew Member since: Jan 8, 2013 Threads: 4 Posts: 1232 | But when the probability is zero... |
August 29th, 2016 at 8:16:48 AM permalink | |
Nareed Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 346 Posts: 12545 |
So you prove that prayer works and your deities are not imaginary, by saying that a prayer for a subjective experience for some else will surely be answered. "Isn't that special?" Donald Trump is a one-term LOSER |
August 29th, 2016 at 10:56:16 AM permalink | |
Aussie Member since: May 10, 2016 Threads: 2 Posts: 458 |
Who are you to say the probability of such things is zero? Science has proven things over and over again that in the past would have simply been put down to a miracle or some other God-botherer explanation. Your concept of "zero" is exactly the type of thinking I was talking about. |
August 29th, 2016 at 12:23:10 PM permalink | |
pew Member since: Jan 8, 2013 Threads: 4 Posts: 1232 | I think you're wrong to say there is no event that has a zero percent chance of happening. What are the odds that a man who has been laying dead in a tomb for three days gets up and walks away? How about changing water into wine in an instant? |
August 29th, 2016 at 12:32:02 PM permalink | |
Nareed Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 346 Posts: 12545 |
What are the chances he was misdiagnosed? Not as high as that the whole story was made up. But higher than a resurrection.
Magic trick. Donald Trump is a one-term LOSER |
August 29th, 2016 at 12:37:17 PM permalink | |
pew Member since: Jan 8, 2013 Threads: 4 Posts: 1232 | Your missing the point. What are the odds? Are they or are they not zero? Simple question. |
August 29th, 2016 at 12:59:19 PM permalink | |
Evenbob Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 146 Posts: 25011 |
The real question is, what are the odds of believing a story that has no corroboration outside of the NT. What are the odds of believing a story that shows up again and again in the myths of the era. It's not a matter of what are the odds that it happened, it's what are the odds that the story is complete bullshite. Nearly 100%, in case you're wondering. If you believe the resurrection story about Jesus, you're compelled to believe the other stories that came before him. A few dozen at least, here are the 10 most famous. Get in line, Jesus, your story isn't even all that colorful. Resurrection was common in those days, in myths anyway. http://listverse.com/2013/03/30/10-resurrected-religious-figures/ If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose. |