General Election 2024

Poll
2 votes (13.33%)
1 vote (6.66%)
2 votes (13.33%)
7 votes (46.66%)
No votes (0%)
No votes (0%)
1 vote (6.66%)
2 votes (13.33%)
3 votes (20%)
No votes (0%)

15 members have voted

July 1st, 2024 at 10:10:58 AM permalink
DoubleGold
Member since: Jan 26, 2023
Threads: 34
Posts: 4241
If an arrest is made of one of the Deep State players before the election, like Pelosi or Soetoro, I'd increase my projection of Trump winning to about 2% chance.

I don't think I'd go over 5%.
July 1st, 2024 at 12:02:07 PM permalink
mcallister3200
Member since: Jun 14, 2019
Threads: 0
Posts: 6
Quote: Tanko
The US personal savings rate is down 74% since 2019.

Tough to save when according to government numbers, inflation is up 21% since 2020 and more than 100% of all US jobs added since 2019 have gone to foreign born residents.


You can’t have “more than 100%” of anything.
July 1st, 2024 at 3:37:18 PM permalink
Tanko
Member since: Aug 15, 2019
Threads: 0
Posts: 2470
Quote: mcallister3200
You can’t have “more than 100%” of anything.


You can when you take jobs from other people.

The foreign born did.

Check my June 29 post. Read the Fed Employment Level graphs.

Total gain in employment since Oct 2019 was 2,238,000.

Foreign born employed increased 3,550,000.

Which means the foreign born got all of those jobs added since Oct 2019, plus 1,312,000 more.

How is that possible?

Native born lost 1,276,000 jobs since Oct. 2019.
July 1st, 2024 at 4:39:10 PM permalink
missedhervee
Member since: Apr 23, 2021
Threads: 160
Posts: 5485
Quote: Tanko
How is that possible?


Easy: unlike pampered, "entitled" Americans the foreign born are willing to work hard for a low wage.

Makes sense to me.
July 1st, 2024 at 4:41:29 PM permalink
DRich
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 57
Posts: 5896
Quote: missedhervee
Easy: unlike pampered, "entitled" Americans the foreign born are willing to work hard for a low wage.

Makes sense to me.



With the Baby Boomers retiring we do not have enough working age people without immigrants. In the next 15 years we will be in really bad shape as far as a workforce without immigrants.
At my age a Life In Prison sentence is not much of a deterrent.
July 1st, 2024 at 5:04:52 PM permalink
rxwine
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 217
Posts: 22938
Quote:
Former Republican congresswoman Liz Cheney fired back at Donald Trump after the former president shared an image on his Truth Social page saying she was guilty of treason and should be tried during “televised military tribunals.”

“Donald – This is the type of thing that demonstrates yet again that you are not a stable adult,” she wrote on X, “and are not fit for office.”
"Trumpsplain (def.) explaining absolute nonsense said by TRUMP.
July 1st, 2024 at 6:35:45 PM permalink
mcallister3200
Member since: Jun 14, 2019
Threads: 0
Posts: 6
Quote: Tanko
You can when you take jobs from other people.

The foreign born did.

Check my June 29 post. Read the Fed Employment Level graphs.

Total gain in employment since Oct 2019 was 2,238,000.

Foreign born employed increased 3,550,000.

Which means the foreign born got all of those jobs added since Oct 2019, plus 1,312,000 more.

How is that possible?

Native born lost 1,276,000 jobs since Oct. 2019.


You define mass amounts of people retiring by choice due to stock and housing gains as “losing jobs” now?
July 1st, 2024 at 6:41:20 PM permalink
JimRockford
Member since: Sep 18, 2015
Threads: 2
Posts: 1061
Quote: Tanko
You can when you take jobs from other people.

The foreign born did.

Check my June 29 post. Read the Fed Employment Level graphs.

Total gain in employment since Oct 2019 was 2,238,000.

Foreign born employed increased 3,550,000.

Which means the foreign born got all of those jobs added since Oct 2019, plus 1,312,000 more.

How is that possible?

Native born lost 1,276,000 jobs since Oct. 2019.


It seems to me that a fair evaluation period should start when Biden was actually in office rather than include a year and 3 months of Trump’s term. I would also use the same month for the beginning and the end to remove any seasonal effect. Maybe Feb 2021 to Feb 2024. Not saying the results would be different, but your comparison kinda looks cherry picked.
A government of laws and not of men. - John Adam’s
July 1st, 2024 at 8:08:42 PM permalink
GenoDRPh
Member since: Aug 24, 2023
Threads: 5
Posts: 2831
Quote: JimRockford
It seems to me that a fair evaluation period should start when Biden was actually in office rather than include a year and 3 months of Trump’s term. I would also use the same month for the beginning and the end to remove any seasonal effect. Maybe Feb 2021 to Feb 2024. Not saying the results would be different, but your comparison kinda looks cherry picked.


And compare demographic changes as well.
July 2nd, 2024 at 12:02:11 PM permalink
Tanko
Member since: Aug 15, 2019
Threads: 0
Posts: 2470
Quote: JimRockford
It seems to me that a fair evaluation period should start when Biden was actually in office rather than include a year and 3 months of Trump’s term. I would also use the same month for the beginning and the end to remove any seasonal effect. Maybe Feb 2021 to Feb 2024. Not saying the results would be different, but your comparison kinda looks cherry picked.


Pick any point and play with the graphs all you want. End result is Native Born lost 1.7 million jobs from their peak in 2019, while the foreign born gained 3.2 million jobs above their peak before Covid.

Jan 2021-May 2024

Although the Foreign Born are only 13.8 percent of the US population, they gained 5,578,000 of the jobs restored during that period and exceeded their 2020 peak by 3.2 million jobs.

The native born gained 7.38 million jobs since Jan 2021, but still ended down 1.275 million jobs from their 2020 peak.

Those 1.275 million jobs went to the foreign born.